#USDJPY @ 133.810 edges lower on Thursday and snaps a three-day winning streak to a multi-week high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USD/JPY edges lower on Thursday and snaps a three-day winning streak to a multi-week high.
• Retreating US bond yields undermines the Greenback and exerts some pressure on the major.
• Hawkish Fed expectations should limit the USD decline and lend support ahead of the US data.

The pair currently trades last at 133.810.

The previous day high was 134.36 while the previous day low was 132.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 133.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 133.24, expected to provide support.

The USD/JPY pair comes under some selling pressure on Thursday and snaps a three-day winning streak to the highest level since January 6, around the 134.35 area touched the previous day. The pair remains on the defensive through the first half of the European session and is currently placed around the 133.80 region, just a few pips above the daily low.

The US Dollar retreats from a six-week high amid a modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields and turns out to be a key factor dragging the USD/JPY pair lower. The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, is underpinned by speculations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) governor candidate Kazuo Ueda will dismantle the yield curve control. Apart from this, looming recession risks further benefit the JPY’s relative safe-haven status and weighs on the major.

The downside for the USD/JPY pair, however, seems cushioned amid the prospects for further policy tightening by the Fed, which should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the Greenback. In fact, the markets are now pricing in at least a 25 bps lift-off at the next two FOMC meetings in March and May. The bets were reaffirmed by the recent US macro data, which pointed to stubbornly high inflation and a resilient economy, despite rising borrowing costs.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favour of the USD bulls and supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying around the USD/JPY pair. Even from a technical perspective, this week’s sustained breakout through the 133.00 hurdle adds credence to the positive bias and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside. Hence, the intraday corrective pullback is more likely to remain limited.

Traders now look to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI), Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits and Housing Starts. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment should allow investors to grab short-term trading opportunities around the major.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 133.71 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 134.11 and is trading with a change of -0.3 % .

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 130.78, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 132.05 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 137.86 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 136.87

The previous day high was 134.36 while the previous day low was 132.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 133.67, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 133.24, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 132.99, 131.86, 131.17
• Pivot resistance is noted at 134.8, 135.48, 136.61

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