#GBPUSD @ 1.20298 consolidates the biggest daily loss in a fortnight around weekly low., @nehcap view: Limited downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD consolidates the biggest daily loss in a fortnight around weekly low.
- Ascending trend lines from January and last November precede 200-DMA to challenge bears.
- U-turn from 50-DMA, bearish MACD signals favor sellers.
The pair currently trades last at 1.20298.
The previous day high was 1.227 while the previous day low was 1.2118. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2212, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2176, expected to provide resistance.
GBP/USD stays defensive around 1.2030, bouncing off the weekly low, as it licks the previous day’s wounds during early Thursday.
In doing so, the Cable pair rebounds from a six-week-old support line after falling the most in a fortnight. The recovery moves, however, remain elusive considering the quote’s sustained U-turn from the 50-DMA and the bearish MACD signals.
It’s worth noting, though, that the ascending support lines from early January and mid-November 2022, respectively around 1.2000 and 1.1985 in that order, restrict the short-term downside of the GBP/USD pair.
Following that, the 200-DMA level of 1.1940 gains the major attention of the bears targeting the mid-November 2022 bottom around 1.1760. However, the previous monthly low surrounding 1.1840 could offer an intermediate halt during the fall.
Meanwhile, GBP/USD rebound recovery remains elusive unless crossing the 50-DMA hurdle of near 1.2180.
In a case where the GBP/USD price remains firmer past 50-DMA, a one-month-old horizontal resistance near 1.2260 will be in focus as it holds the key for the Cable pair’s run-up toward the multiple tops marked since late 2022 around 1.2450.
Overall, GBP/USD is likely to remain depressed but the downside room appears limited.
Trend: Limited downside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2034 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2177 and is trading with a change of -1.17% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.2034 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0143 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.17% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.2177 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.2249, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.2186 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1874 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.1943
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.2249 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.2186 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1874 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.1943 |
The previous day high was 1.227 while the previous day low was 1.2118. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2212, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2176, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.2107, 1.2036, 1.1954
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2259, 1.234, 1.2411
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.2270 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.2118 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.2194 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1961 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2448 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1841 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.2212 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.2176 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.2107 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.2036 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1954 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.2259 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2340 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2411 |
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