#EURJPY @ 141.961 is neutral to upward biased from a technical perspective, but caution is warranted due to fundamental news. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#EURJPY @ 141.961 is neutral to upward biased from a technical perspective, but caution is warranted due to fundamental news. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • EUR/JPY is neutral to upward biased from a technical perspective, but caution is warranted due to fundamental news.
  • Rumors of the appointment of Kazuo Ueda to be the new Governor at the Bank of Japan spurred speculations of a hawkish stance.
  • Abandonment of the Bank of Japan Yield Curve Control could strengthen the Japanese Yen.

The pair currently trades last at 141.961.

The previous day high was 141.51 while the previous day low was 139.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.3, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.76, expected to provide support.

The EUR/JPY bounces from the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and advances sharply toward the 142.00 area, breaking crucial resistance areas in the daily chart. However, it trimmed some of those earlier gains but remained above all the EMAs. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY exchanges hands at 142.02.

From the daily chart perspective, the EUR/JPY is neutral-to-upward biased, though it remains capped by the YTD high at 142.84. A breach of the latter would resume the uptrend, and the EUR/JPY could rally towards its next supply zone, being a downslope resistance trendline, drawn from October highs that pass around 144.55-70, followed by the December 20 daily high at 145.83.

On the other hand, fundamental news surrounding the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could trigger a downward reaction in the event of an appreciation of the Japanese Yen (JPY). Speculations that Kazuo Ueda, which the Japanese PM Kishida would appoint as the new BoJ Governor, would lean towards a more hawkish stance had increased the likelihood of abandonment of the Yield Curve Control (YCC). Therefore, that would be bullish for the Japanese Yen.

In that event, the EUR/JPY could position itself towards the downside, though it would need to hurdle all the EMAs toward the 200-day EMA at 140.34. Break below, and the cross-currency pair would be exposed to the 137.91 January 19 daily low, ahead of the YTD low at 137.38.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURJPY currently trading at 142.03 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 140.34 and is trading with a change of 1.2 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 142.03
1 Today Daily Change 1.69
2 Today Daily Change % 1.20
3 Today daily open 140.34

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 140.82, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 141.58 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 142.96 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 141.08

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 140.82
1 Daily SMA50 141.58
2 Daily SMA100 142.96
3 Daily SMA200 141.08

The previous day high was 141.51 while the previous day low was 139.55. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.3, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 140.76, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 139.42, 138.51, 137.46
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 141.38, 142.43, 143.34
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 141.51
Previous Daily Low 139.55
Previous Weekly High 142.88
Previous Weekly Low 139.55
Previous Monthly High 142.86
Previous Monthly Low 137.39
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 140.30
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 140.76
Daily Pivot Point S1 139.42
Daily Pivot Point S2 138.51
Daily Pivot Point S3 137.46
Daily Pivot Point R1 141.38
Daily Pivot Point R2 142.43
Daily Pivot Point R3 143.34

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