#EURGBP @ 0.88836 is facing pressure in printing fresh highs above 0.8880 ahead of UK economic data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#EURGBP @ 0.88836 is facing pressure in printing fresh highs above 0.8880 ahead of UK economic data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • EUR/GBP is facing pressure in printing fresh highs above 0.8880 ahead of UK economic data.
  • A further slowdown in UK economic activities might trim inflation projections.
  • ECB Villeroy sees the central bank reaching to terminal rate by the summer.

The pair currently trades last at 0.88836.

The previous day high was 0.8882 while the previous day low was 0.8828. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8861, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8849, expected to provide support.

The EUR/GBP pair is facing barriers in shifting its auction profile above the critical resistance of 0.8880 in the early Tokyo session. The cross is likely to remain on tenterhooks as investors have shifted their focus toward the release of the United Kingdom economic data, which is scheduled for Friday.

The cross is demonstrating signs of exhaustion in the upside trend, however, it would be early to call it a bearish reversal as will require approvals from more filters.

On the economic docket front, UK’s annual Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production (Nov) are expected to contract by 3.0% and 4.8% respectively. Apart from them, monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to contract by 0.3%. Overall weakness in UK production activities is likely to add to the already economic contraction, which will also impact inflation projections. A drop in inflation projections might delight the Bank of England (BOE) ahead.

Meanwhile, economists at MUFG Bank expect that the UK economy will be more stable this year. A note from the bank stated that we may have reached “peak pessimism” for the UK and the Pound. Much greater political stability this year than last is one factor here and we can very likely assume that PM Sunak will bring greater credibility after the turmoil of 2022. “Another consequence of having Rishi Sunak at No. 10 is the prospect of better relations with the EU and with that a possible deal to break the deadlock regarding the Northern Ireland Protocol.”

On the Eurozone front, European Central Bank (ECB)’s governing council member and French central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday, the central bank should aim to reach the terminal rate by the summer. He further added that the ECB needs to be pragmatic about the pace of rate hikes.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURGBP currently trading at 0.888 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.8854 and is trading with a change of 0.29 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.8880
1 Today Daily Change 0.0026
2 Today Daily Change % 0.2900
3 Today daily open 0.8854

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.8803, 50 SMA 0.872, 100 SMA @ 0.8711 and 200 SMA @ 0.8593.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.8803
1 Daily SMA50 0.8720
2 Daily SMA100 0.8711
3 Daily SMA200 0.8593

The previous day high was 0.8882 while the previous day low was 0.8828. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.8861, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.8849, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.8827, 0.8801, 0.8774
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.8881, 0.8908, 0.8934
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.8882
Previous Daily Low 0.8828
Previous Weekly High 0.8875
Previous Weekly Low 0.8783
Previous Monthly High 0.8877
Previous Monthly Low 0.8547
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8861
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8849
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8827
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8801
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8774
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8881
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8908
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8934

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