#EURUSD @ 1.06884 picks up bids to refresh intraday high, approaches three-week-old resistance line., @nehcap view: Further upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, approaches three-week-old resistance line.
- Receding bearish bias of MACD, sustained rebound from 50% Fibonacci retracement level strengthen upside hopes.
- Two-month-old ascending trend line, 50-DMA restrict short-term downside.
- Golden ratio, May 2022 peak act as additional upside filters inside megaphone trend-widening pattern.
The pair currently trades last at 1.06884.
The previous day high was 1.0648 while the previous day low was 1.0483. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0585, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0546, expected to provide support.
EUR/USD holds onto the US NFP-led bullish bias as it marches towards 1.0700 during early Monday, up 0.30% intraday near 1.0680 by the press time.
In doing so, the major currency pair extends the previous day’s U-turn from a 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-September 2022 downside to approach a one-month-old resistance line, close to the 1.0700 by the press time.
It’s worth noting that the EUR/USD pair’s successful trading above the 50-DMA and the recently easing bearish bias of the MACD also favor the bulls.
However, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 1.0745, also known as the “Golden Ratio”, precedes the May 2022 peak of 1.0786 to challenge the EUR/USD bulls.
Following that, the 1.0800 round figure could act as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears before directing the quote towards the late April 2022 high near 1.0935.
On the flip side, an upward-sloping trend line from early November 2022, close to 1.0560 at the latest, restricts short-term EUR/USD pullback.
However, the pair sellers will need a successful break of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-DMA, close to 1.0510 and 1.0425 in that order, to retake control.
Trend: Further upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0682 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0646 and is trading with a change of 0.34% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0682 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0036 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.34% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0646 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0616, 50 SMA 1.041, 100 SMA @ 1.015 and 200 SMA @ 1.0314.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0616 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0410 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0150 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0314 |
The previous day high was 1.0648 while the previous day low was 1.0483. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0585, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0546, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0537, 1.0427, 1.0372
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0702, 1.0757, 1.0867
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0648 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0483 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0710 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0483 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0736 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0393 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0585 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0546 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0537 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0427 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0372 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0702 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0757 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0867 |
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