#USDCNH @ 6.78522 drops to the lowest levels since August 17, 2022., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#USDCNH @ 6.78522 drops to the lowest levels since August 17, 2022., @nehcap view: Further downside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • USD/CNH drops to the lowest levels since August 17, 2022.
  • Clear break of 200-DMA, bearish MACD signals favor sellers as they eye two-month-old descending support line.
  • Previous support line from June adds to the upside filters.

The pair currently trades last at 6.78522.

The previous day high was 6.8932 while the previous day low was 6.8236. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 6.8502, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 6.8667, expected to provide resistance.

USD/CNH takes offers to renew a multi-day low around 6.7900 heading into Monday’s European session. In doing so, the offshore Chinese Yuan (CNH) pair extends the previous day’s downside break of the 200-DMA to poke the lowest levels since mid-August 2022.

Also adding strength to the bearish bias is the pair’s sustained trading below the support-turned-resistance line from early June, as well as the bearish MACD signals.

That said, USD/CNH bears are on their way to meeting a downward-sloping support line from November 14, close to 6.7650 by the press time.

The pair’s further downside, however, appears limited as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its February-October upside, near 6.7150, could challenge the USD/CNH sellers afterward. If not, then the mid-2022 low surrounding 6.6170 and the 6.6000 round figure will be in focus.

On the contrary, recovery moves may initially aim for the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 6.8420 ahead of confronting the 200-DMA level of 6.8730.

Following that, the seven-month-old support-turned-resistance line near 6.9240 will be in focus as it holds the key to the USD/CNH run-up towards the 7.0000 psychological magnet.

Overall, USD/CNH remains on the bear’s radar even if the downside room appears limited.

Trend: Further downside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCNH currently trading at 6.7872 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 6.8276 and is trading with a change of -0.59% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 6.7872
1 Today Daily Change -0.0404
2 Today Daily Change % -0.59%
3 Today daily open 6.8276

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 6.9585, 50 SMA 7.0661, 100 SMA @ 7.0684 and 200 SMA @ 6.8709.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 6.9585
1 Daily SMA50 7.0661
2 Daily SMA100 7.0684
3 Daily SMA200 6.8709

The previous day high was 6.8932 while the previous day low was 6.8236. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 6.8502, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 6.8667, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 6.8031, 6.7786, 6.7335
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 6.8727, 6.9178, 6.9423
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 6.8932
Previous Daily Low 6.8236
Previous Weekly High 6.9396
Previous Weekly Low 6.8236
Previous Monthly High 7.0914
Previous Monthly Low 6.9050
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.8502
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.8667
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.8031
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.7786
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.7335
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.8727
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.9178
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.9423

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