#EURUSD @ 1.06225 is facing pressure as fresh Covid measures taken by various nations for arrivals from China trigger volatility. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• EUR/USD is facing pressure as fresh Covid measures taken by various nations for arrivals from China trigger volatility.
• Absence of recovery signs from S&P500 futures after a two-day sell-off portraying risk-off mood.
• The United States will require all travelers from China to show a negative Covid report, effective from next week.

The pair currently trades last at 1.06225.

The previous day high was 1.0674 while the previous day low was 1.0608. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0633, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0649, expected to provide resistance.

The EUR/USD pair has sensed heat after a rebound move to near 1.0637 in the Asian session. The major currency pair has dropped marginally around 1.0620 as the risk-off impulse has regained traction after various nations announced the requirement for negative Covid-19 test reports of arrivals from China. This is expected to escalate supply chain disruptions as China is a leading trading partner with various nations in the world.

The US Dollar Index has turned sideways in a range of 104.26-104.40 after a correction in the early trade from a four-day high around 104.56. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have not displayed any recovery move after a two-day sell-off, portraying a risk-aversion theme underpinned by the market participants. The return on the 10-year US Treasury bonds is facing pressure and has dropped to near 3.86%.

The pace of reopening of the Chinese economy adopted by the respective administration has spiked the number of infections, which has dismantled the idea of easing supply chain disruptions. According to CNN News, the United States will require all travelers from China to show a negative Covid test result before flying to the country, effective from January 5.

Meanwhile, Italy announced that it will commence testing all arrivals from China for Covid and urges European Union countries to follow suit, after the 50% positive test rate on China flights in Milan. Fresh concerns about the Covid situation in China are likely to keep the US Dollar Index on a positive trajectory.

On the Eurozone front, the trading bloc is concluding the CY2022 on a high inflation note, which will keep the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers busy in finding ways to tame the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This week, ECB Governing Council member, as well as Dutch Governor, Klaas Knot warned for more policy tightening in the five policy meetings between now and July 2023 to contain firmer inflation. He further added that ‘The risk of us doing too little is still the bigger risk’.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 1.0621 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0608 and is trading with a change of 0.12 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0579, 50 SMA 1.0313, 100 SMA @ 1.0118 and 200 SMA @ 1.0328.

The previous day high was 1.0674 while the previous day low was 1.0608. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0633, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0649, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1.0586, 1.0564, 1.0519
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0652, 1.0697, 1.0719

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