#EURUSD @ 1.04919 struggles to capitalize on its intraday uptick amid some buying around the USD. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on its intraday uptick amid some buying around the USD.
- The better-than-expected German Factory Orders data also does little to provide impetus.
- The fundamental backdrop supports prospects for some meaningful corrective pullback.
The pair currently trades last at 1.04919.
The previous day high was 1.0595 while the previous day low was 1.048. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0524, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0551, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/USD pair surrenders its modest intraday gains to the 1.0520 area and refreshes the daily low during the early European session. Spot prices remain on the defensive below the 1.0500 psychological mark and move little following the release of better-than-expected German data.
The latest data published by the Federal Statistics Office showed that German Factory Orders rose 0.8% in October against the 0.2% decline estimated and the 4.0% fall recorded in the previous month. The data, however, did little to impress bullish traders or provide any meaningful impetus to the EUR/USD pair amid some follow-through US Dollar buying.
In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback’s performance against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the overnight bounce from over a five-month low and acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. The incoming stronger US economic data fuels speculations that the Fed may raise interest rates more than projected and offers support to the USD.
Against the backdrop of the upbeat US monthly jobs report released on Friday, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported on Monday that the US Service PMI unexpectedly climbed to 56.5 in November. This points to a resilient US economy, despite rising borrowing costs, and validates expectations that the Fed will continue to tighten its monetary policy.
Furthermore, the recent less hawkish remarks by European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, backing the case for a 50 bps rate hike in December, favour the EUR/USD bears. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that spot prices have topped out in the near term amid a relatively thin US economic docket.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.048 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0485 and is trading with a change of -0.05 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0480 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0005 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0485 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0339, 50 SMA 1.0037, 100 SMA @ 1.0053 and 200 SMA @ 1.0364.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0339 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0037 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0053 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0364 |
The previous day high was 1.0595 while the previous day low was 1.048. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0524, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0551, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0445, 1.0406, 1.0331
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.056, 1.0635, 1.0675
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0595 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0480 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0545 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0290 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0497 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9730 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0524 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0551 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0445 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0406 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0331 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0560 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0635 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0675 |
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