#USDCAD @ 1.35970 struggles for a firm intraday direction and remains confined in a range on Tuesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CAD struggles for a firm intraday direction and remains confined in a range on Tuesday.
- A modest uptick in crude oil prices underpins the Loonie and acts as a headwind for the pair.
- The downside remains cushioned amid the emergence of some buying around the US Dollar.
The pair currently trades last at 1.35970.
The previous day high was 1.3605 while the previous day low was 1.3385. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3521, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3469, expected to provide support.
The USD/CAD pair oscillates in a narrow band on Tuesday and consolidates the overnight strong rally of around 220 pips from sub-1.3400 levels. The pair holds steady near a one-week high through the early European session, with bulls now awaiting a sustained strength beyond the 1.3600 round-figure mark.
Crude oil prices edge high and recover a part of the previous day’s slump of nearly 6.5% amid hopes for a recovery in fuel demand amid the easing of COVID-19 curbs in China. This, in turn, underpins the commodity-linked Loonie and acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. The downside, however, remains cushioned amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying, bolstered by bets that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates more than projected.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the US Service PMI unexpectedly increased to 56.5 in November from 54.4 in the previous month. This comes on the back of the upbeat US monthly jobs report released on Friday and suggests that the economy remained resilient despite rising borrowing costs. The incoming strong US macro data validates Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s forecast that the peak interest rate will be higher than expected.
The mixed fundamental backdrop, meanwhile, warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets around the USD/CAD pair. Traders might also prefer to move to the sidelines and await the latest monetary policy update by the Bank of Canada (BoC) on Wednesday. In the meantime, traders on Tuesday might take cues from the release of Trade Balance data from the US and Canada. Apart from this, the USD and oil price dynamics should provide some impetus.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCAD currently trading at 1.3591 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.36 and is trading with a change of -0.07 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.3591 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0009 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.3600 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.3406, 50 SMA 1.3571, 100 SMA @ 1.33 and 200 SMA @ 1.3034.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.3406 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.3571 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.3300 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.3034 |
The previous day high was 1.3605 while the previous day low was 1.3385. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.3521, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.3469, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.3455, 1.331, 1.3235
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.3675, 1.375, 1.3895
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.3605 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.3385 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.3646 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.3381 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.3808 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.3226 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.3521 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.3469 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.3455 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.3310 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.3235 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.3675 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.3750 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.3895 |
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