#EURUSD @ 1.05266 portrays typical pre-NFP trading lull at five-month high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#EURUSD @ 1.05266 portrays typical pre-NFP trading lull at five-month high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • EUR/USD portrays typical pre-NFP trading lull at five-month high.
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde cites economic uncertainty, need for fiscal policy to defend the bloc.
  • Downbeat comments from IMF’s Georgieva, anxiety ahead of US NFP also probe bulls.
  • Hopes of Fed’s slower rate hike, downbeat expectations from US data favor buyers.

The pair currently trades last at 1.05266.

The previous day high was 1.0534 while the previous day low was 1.0393. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.048, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0447, expected to provide support.

EUR/USD portrays the market’s cautious mood as it steadies near a five-month high surrounding 1.0530 during early Friday.

That said, the major currency pair’s latest inaction could be linked to the mixed concerns surrounding likely downbeat US employment data and economic fears cited by the key policymakers from the US and Europe.

Recently, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde mentioned the need for short-term and bespoke fiscal policy. The policymaker also said, “For sustainable growth, all policies must work together.”

Further, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said that recession risks are rising for many countries, and the outlook for global growth is exceptionally uncertain and dominated by risks. The same challenged the market sentiment and allowed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to take a breather around the lowest levels since early July.

Even so, a record-low Unemployment Rate in the bloc joins dovish comments from the majority of the Fed policymakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, to keep the EUR/USD buyers hopeful.

Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.30% intraday to 4,070 whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields printed a corrective bounce off the 10-week low to 3.54% by the press time.

Moving on, EUR/USD may remain inactive amid a light calendar ahead of the US jobs report and cautious mood. However, the bulls are likely to stay in the driver’s seat as the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is expected to ease to 200K print versus 261K prior while the Unemployment Rate could remain unchanged at 3.7%.

A four-month-old upward-sloping previous resistance line, now support near 1.0500, restricts short-term EUR/USD downside. Meanwhile, the pair’s upside moves could aim for the late June swing high near 1.0615.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 1.0524 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0524 and is trading with a change of 0.00% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.0524
1 Today Daily Change 0.0000
2 Today Daily Change % 0.00%
3 Today daily open 1.0524

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.0288, 50 SMA 1.0003, 100 SMA @ 1.0045 and 200 SMA @ 1.0371.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.0288
1 Daily SMA50 1.0003
2 Daily SMA100 1.0045
3 Daily SMA200 1.0371

The previous day high was 1.0534 while the previous day low was 1.0393. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.048, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0447, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.0434, 1.0343, 1.0293
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0574, 1.0624, 1.0715
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.0534
Previous Daily Low 1.0393
Previous Weekly High 1.0449
Previous Weekly Low 1.0223
Previous Monthly High 1.0497
Previous Monthly Low 0.9730
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0480
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0447
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0434
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0343
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0293
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0574
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0624
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0715

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