#XAUUSD @ 1,754.31 Gold price remains firmer for the second consecutive day, bounces off 10-DMA, short-term key support., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#XAUUSD @ 1,754.31 Gold price remains firmer for the second consecutive day, bounces off 10-DMA, short-term key support., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Gold price remains firmer for the second consecutive day, bounces off 10-DMA, short-term key support.
  • US Dollar traces pullback in Treasury bond yields, cautious optimism surrounding China also propels XAU/USD.
  • Fed Chair Powell’s first speech after November, hawkish hopes tease Gold sellers.

The pair currently trades last at 1754.31.

The previous day high was 1759.05 while the previous day low was 1739.82. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1751.7, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1747.17, expected to provide support.

Gold price (XAU/USD) picks up bids to refresh intraday top near $1,755 heading into Wednesday’s European session. In doing so, the precious metal prices cheer the broad US Dollar weakness, as well as cautious optimism in the market. However, anxiety ahead of the all-important speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems to test the bulls.

US Dollar Index (DXY) snap a four-day uptrend as it drops to 106.55, down 0.25% intraday at the latest. The Greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies traces downbeat US 10-Year Treasury bond yields, down two basis points to 3.72%, to print the latest losses.

The DXY’s latest losses could also be linked to the softer US data as the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 100.2 in November versus 102.2 prior (revised down from 102.5).

Furthermore, China’s multiple measures to ease the strict lockdown in the key areas after witnessing a retreat in the daily Covid infections from a record high seemed to favor the mild risk-on mood. Even so, the world’s second-largest economy kept its Zero-Covid policy intact. Bloomberg reported the reopening of some city buildings in the greater Zhengzhou region, the home of a key iPhone plant. Earlier on Tuesday, the news broke that China’s Guangdong province will allow the close contacts of Covid cases to quarantine at home.

While portraying the mood, S&P 500 Futures print mild gains even as Wall Street closed mixed while the Asia-Pacific stocks grind higher.

Looking forward, hawkish hopes from Fed’s Powell challenge Gold buyers but a surprise dovish statement might not hesitate to propel the commodity prices beyond the short-term key hurdles. Other than Powell, an early signal for Friday’s United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), namely the ADP Employment Change for November, as well as the second readings of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter (Q3), will also be crucial to watch for clear directions.

Gold price extends bounce off a convergence of the 10-DMA and a three-week-old ascending support line, around $1,747-49 by the press time, to keep buyers hopeful.

However, a downward-sloping trend line from mid-November and bearish MACD signals tease XAU/USD sellers unless the quote crosses the $1,760 hurdle.

Even so, a five-month-old descending resistance line, close to $1,780 by the press time, challenges the Gold buyers.

Alternatively, the XAU/USD’s pullback remains elusive beyond $1,747, a break of which could drag the metal towards the highs marked in September and October, respectively near $1,735 and $1,729.

Overall, the Gold price remains on the bear’s radar unless staying beyond $1,780.

Trend: Limited upside expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1755 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1748.74 and is trading with a change of 0.36% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1755
1 Today Daily Change 6.26
2 Today Daily Change % 0.36%
3 Today daily open 1748.74

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1731.33, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1689.86 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1712.36 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1797.44

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1731.33
1 Daily SMA50 1689.86
2 Daily SMA100 1712.36
3 Daily SMA200 1797.44

The previous day high was 1759.05 while the previous day low was 1739.82. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1751.7, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1747.17, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1739.36, 1729.97, 1720.13
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1758.59, 1768.43, 1777.82
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1759.05
Previous Daily Low 1739.82
Previous Weekly High 1761.20
Previous Weekly Low 1721.23
Previous Monthly High 1729.58
Previous Monthly Low 1617.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1751.70
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1747.17
Daily Pivot Point S1 1739.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 1729.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 1720.13
Daily Pivot Point R1 1758.59
Daily Pivot Point R2 1768.43
Daily Pivot Point R3 1777.82

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