#GBPUSD @ 1.20988 reverses an intraday dip amid the emergence of fresh selling around the USD. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.20988 reverses an intraday dip amid the emergence of fresh selling around the USD. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD reverses an intraday dip amid the emergence of fresh selling around the USD.
  • Bets for less aggressive rate hikes by the Fed, sliding US bond yields weigh on the buck.
  • China’s COVID-19 jitters could offer support to the safe-haven USD and cap the major.

The pair currently trades last at 1.20988.

The previous day high was 1.2128 while the previous day low was 1.2058. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2085, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2101, expected to provide resistance.

The GBP/USD pair attracts some dip-buying near the 1.2025 region on Monday and climbs to a fresh daily peak during the early part of the European session. The pair is currently placed around the 1.2100 mark and remains well within the striking distance of its highest level since August 12 touched last week.

Following a modest intraday uptick, the US Dollar comes under some renewed selling pressure and is seen as a key factor lending support to the GBP/USD pair. A dovish assessment of the November FOMC meeting minutes released last week cemented bets for a relatively smaller 50 bps rate hike in December. This is evident from a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields and continues to weigh on the greenback.

The British Pound, on the other hand, continues to draw support from firming expectations that the Bank of England will continue to raise borrowing costs to combat stubbornly high inflation. This provides an additional lift to the GBP/USD pair and remains supportive. That said, a bleak outlook for the UK economy could act as a headwind for the STerling and cap the upside for the major, at least for now.

Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off mood – amid worries about the worsening COVID-19 situation – could offer some support to the safe-haven buck and keep a lid on the GBP/USD pair. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases, either from the UK or the US, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders and before positioning for any further appreciation.

Market participants now look to speeches by influential FOMC members – St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and New York Fed President John Williams. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will drive the USD and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair. The focus, however, will be on this week’s important US macro releases scheduled at the beginning of a new month.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.2108 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.2097 and is trading with a change of 0.09 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.2108
1 Today Daily Change 0.0011
2 Today Daily Change % 0.0900
3 Today daily open 1.2097

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1706, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1417 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1644 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2185

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.1706
1 Daily SMA50 1.1417
2 Daily SMA100 1.1644
3 Daily SMA200 1.2185

The previous day high was 1.2128 while the previous day low was 1.2058. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.2085, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.2101, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.2061, 1.2025, 1.1992
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.2131, 1.2164, 1.22
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.2128
Previous Daily Low 1.2058
Previous Weekly High 1.2154
Previous Weekly Low 1.1779
Previous Monthly High 1.1646
Previous Monthly Low 1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2085
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2101
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2061
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2025
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1992
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2131
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2164
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2200

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