#EURUSD @ 1.03615 is expected to resume its downside journey after surrendering the day’s low at 1.0340 as market mood sours. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD is expected to resume its downside journey after surrendering the day’s low at 1.0340 as market mood sours.
- The long-term US Treasury yields have dropped further below 3.65% as anxiety ahead of Fed Powell’s speech soars.
- As the Fed is utterly dedicated to bringing price stability, a slowdown in the growth rate is highly recommended.
The pair currently trades last at 1.03615.
The previous day high was 1.0429 while the previous day low was 1.0355. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0383, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0401, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/USD pair has faced barricades around 1.0360 after attempting a recovery post a sheer fall to near day’s low at 1.0340. The asset has sensed selling interest as a rebound in the risk-off impulse has weakened risk-sensitive currencies.
The Euro bulls are having a bad day as protests in China by individuals having an agenda of rollback of Covid-19 lockdown measures have trimmed investors’ risk appetite. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to sustain above a two-day high at 106.40 as investors are getting anxious ahead of the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell, which will be dictated on Wednesday.
S&P500 futures are continuously facing immense pressure. The 10-year US Treasury yields have extended their losses below 3.65%. As the Fed is expected to decelerate the rate hike pace led by minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), released last week, the returns on US Treasury bonds are declining vigorously.
The speech from Fed Chair will provide cues about the likely monetary policy action for December’s monetary policy. Apart from that, investors are focusing on the preliminary United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data.
The preliminary GDP for the third quarter is seen unchanged at 2.6%. As the Fed is utterly dedicated to bringing price stability, a slowdown in the growth rate is highly recommended. A spell of improvement in the growth rates will continue to keep reign as inflation as it indicates robust demand from individuals, which doesn’t lead to a decline in price growth by the manufacturers and service providers.
On the Eurozone front, investors are awaiting the release of the Eurozone inflation data. The headline HICP is expected to decline to 10.4% vs. the prior release of 10.6%. While the core HICP data that excludes oil and food prices is seen unchanged at 5%.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.036 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0409 and is trading with a change of -0.47 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0360 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0049 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.4700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0409 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0175, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9964 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0031 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0389
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0175 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9964 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0031 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0389 |
The previous day high was 1.0429 while the previous day low was 1.0355. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0383, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0401, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0366, 1.0323, 1.0292
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0441, 1.0472, 1.0515
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0429 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0355 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0449 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0223 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0094 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9632 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0383 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0401 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0366 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0323 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0292 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0441 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0472 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0515 |
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