#EURUSD @ 1.03763 Consumer confidence rise above expectations in November. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Consumer confidence rise above expectations in November.
- New Home Sales jump unexpectedly 7.5% in October.
- S&P Global Composite falls more than expected in November.
- EUR/USD soars to its highest level since Friday amid a weaker Dollar.
The pair currently trades last at 1.03763.
The previous day high was 1.0308 while the previous day low was 1.0237. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0281, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0264, expected to provide support.
The EUR/USD is trading around the 1.0375 zone, at the highest level since Friday boosted by a weaker US Dollar and ahead of the FOMC minutes. The Greenback lost momentum following the release of economic reports.
The pair made a clear break above 1.0350 and gained strength. If it continues to rise, the next resistance area is seen at 1.0400. On the flip side, a slide under 1.0320 should weaken the current intraday bullish bias.
The Greenback is losing ground across the board as US yields tumble. The DXY is falling by 0.83%. The US 10-year yield fell to 3.70% while the 2-year dropped to 4.47%.
Earlier on Wednesday, economic data showed an increase to multi-week highs in jobless claims, offset by a bigger-than-expected increase in Durable Goods Orders. More recently, the November preliminary PMI S&P Global showed a decline in the Composite index to 46.3 from 48.3, below the 47.7 of market consensus. New Home Sales jumped 7.5%, surpassing expectations. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index recovered from 54.7 to 56.8, above the 55 expected.
Later on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its latest meeting. Market participants will look for clues about a potential slowdown in rate hikes. “We look for the minutes to place a lot of emphasis on the likelihood that the terminal rate will need to end up higher than anticipated initially. The Fed still needs to grind down the labor market to align wage and household spending growth with rates more consistent with the inflation target”, said analysts at TD Securities.
On Thursday, Wall Street will remain close due to Thanksgiving Day. In Japan, the Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI and the Leading Index are due.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 1.0368 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.03 and is trading with a change of 0.66 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0368 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0068 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.6600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0300 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.0114, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.994 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0024 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0403
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.0114 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9940 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0024 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0403 |
The previous day high was 1.0308 while the previous day low was 1.0237. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0281, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0264, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0256, 1.0211, 1.0185
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0327, 1.0353, 1.0398
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0308 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0237 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0482 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0272 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0094 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9632 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0281 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0264 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0256 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0211 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0185 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0327 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0353 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0398 |
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