#AUDUSD @ 0.66321 attracts some buyers on Tuesday amid subdued USD price action. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD attracts some buyers on Tuesday amid subdued USD price action.
- China’s COVID-19 woes, hawkish Fed expectations could limit the USD losses.
- RBA Governor Lowe’s comments fail to impress bulls or provide any impetus.
The pair currently trades last at 0.66321.
The previous day high was 0.6684 while the previous day low was 0.6585. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6623, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6646, expected to provide resistance.
The AUD/USD pair regains some positive traction on Tuesday and recovers a part of the previous day’s slide to over a one-week low. The pair maintains its bid tone through the first half of the European session and is currently placed near the daily peak, around the 0.6630-0.6635 region.
The US Dollar stalls its recent strong recovery move from the lowest level since August 12 and edges lower on Tuesday, which, in turn, is seen offering some support to the AUD/USD pair. The fundamental backdrop, however, still seems tilted in favour of the USD bulls. Hence, any subsequent move up might still be seen as an opportunity to initiate fresh bearish positioning around the major and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.
The market sentiment remains fragile amid worries about economic headwinds stemming from a new COVID-19 outbreak in China and the imposition of fresh lockdowns in several cities. Apart from this, fears of a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict take its toll on the global risk sentiment. This is evident from a softer tone around the equity markets, which should act as a tailwind for the safe-haven buck and cap the risk-sensitive Aussie.
Furthermore, hawkish signals by Fed officials suggest that the US central bank is far from pausing its rate-hiking cycle, which should further lend support to the USD. Meanwhile, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe said on Tuesday that the central bank could return to 50 bp moves or keep rates unchanged for a time. This, along with the worsening COVID-19 situation in China, validates the bearish outlook for the AUD/USD pair.
Market participants now look forward to the release of the Richmond Manufacturing Index from the US. Apart from this, traders will take cues from a scheduled speech by Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6628 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6604 and is trading with a change of 0.36 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6628 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0024 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.3600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6604 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6528, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6489 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6693 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6945
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6528 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6489 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6693 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6945 |
The previous day high was 0.6684 while the previous day low was 0.6585. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6623, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6646, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6564, 0.6525, 0.6465
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6664, 0.6724, 0.6764
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6684 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6585 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6798 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6634 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6623 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6646 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6564 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6525 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6465 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6664 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6724 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6764 |
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