#AUDUSD @ 0.66179 snaps four-day downtrend inside one-week-old bearish channel., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD snaps four-day downtrend inside one-week-old bearish channel.
- 200-HMA guards immediate recovery even if RSI, MACD suggest further grinding towards the north.
- 61.8% Fibonacci retracement adds to the downside filters, buyers need validation from monthly high.
The pair currently trades last at 0.66179.
The previous day high was 0.6684 while the previous day low was 0.6585. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6623, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6646, expected to provide resistance.
AUD/USD prints the first daily gain in five around 0.6615 during early Tuesday. In doing so, the Aussie pair rebounds from the support line of a short-term bearish channel while teasing buyers to aim for the 200-HMA.
In addition to the lower line of a one-week-old descending trend channel, the bullish MACD signals and recent improvement in the RSI (14) also favor the AUD/USD buyers.
However, the 200-HMA and the upper line of the stated channel, respectively near 0.6660 and 0.6690, appear immediate challenges for the AUD/USD bulls to tackle before retaking control.
Even if the quote rises past 0.6690, the 0.6700 threshold and the monthly high surrounding 0.6800 could question the upside momentum before humbly letting the buyers in.
On the flip side, a downside break of the aforementioned channel’s support, near 0.6575 at the latest, could quickly drag the quote towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s November 10-15 upside, near 0.6545.
Following that, the 0.6500 and the 0.6400 round figures could lure the AUD/USD pair sellers before highlighting the November 10 swing low surrounding 0.6385.
Overall, AUD/USD is likely to remain bearish unless defying the descending trend channel formation.
Trend: Limited upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6618 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6604 and is trading with a change of 0.21% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6618 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0014 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.21% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6604 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.6528, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.6489 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6693 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6945
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6528 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6489 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6693 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6945 |
The previous day high was 0.6684 while the previous day low was 0.6585. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6623, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6646, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6564, 0.6525, 0.6465
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6664, 0.6724, 0.6764
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6684 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6585 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6798 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6634 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6170 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6623 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6646 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6564 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6525 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6465 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6664 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6724 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6764 |
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