#XAUUSD @ 1,746.78 Gold price is expected to decline further to near $1,740.00 as the risk-off profile is gaining more traction. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price is expected to decline further to near $1,740.00 as the risk-off profile is gaining more traction.
- The DXY has refreshed its weekly high at 107.40 and has not displayed any sign of exhaustion yet.
- An upbeat US Durable Goods Orders data will create more troubles for Fed policymakers.
The pair currently trades last at 1746.78.
The previous day high was 1767.77 while the previous day low was 1747.6. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1755.3, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1760.07, expected to provide resistance.
Gold price (XAUUSD) has turned sideways after dropping to near $1,743.00 in the early European session. The precious metal witnessed selling pressure after surrendering the crucial support of $1,750.00 as the risk aversion theme was underpinned by the market participants. The absence of potential triggers indicates that weekly anxiety is impacting risk-sensitive assets.
The US dollar index (DXY) has refreshed its weekly high at 107.40 and has not displayed any sign of exhaustion yet. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have tumbled to near 3.79% as investors don’t see a continuation of bigger rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) ahead.
This week, the ultimate event will be the release of the US Durable Goods Orders data, which is due on Wednesday. The economic data is expected to expand by 0.4%, similar to the prior advancement. Fed chair Jerome Powell is going through sleepless nights deriving a strategic plan to trim consumer spending. An absence of a decline in Durable Goods Orders data won’t be able to compel manufacturers to trim the prices of end goods. This might weigh more pressure on the gold prices ahead.
Gold price has witnessed a steep fall after a breakdown of the Head and Shoulder chart pattern on an hourly scale. The precious metal has dropped to near the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,744.50, therefore a decisive move is expected ahead.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside momentum has been triggered.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1746.79 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1748.73 and is trading with a change of -0.11 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1746.79 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -1.94 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.11 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1748.73 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1697.62, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1681.32 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1712.59 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1802.07
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1697.62 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1681.32 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1712.59 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1802.07 |
The previous day high was 1767.77 while the previous day low was 1747.6. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1755.3, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1760.07, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1741.63, 1734.53, 1721.46
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1761.8, 1774.87, 1781.97
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1767.77 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1747.60 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1786.55 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1747.60 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1729.58 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1617.35 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1755.30 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1760.07 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1741.63 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1734.53 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1721.46 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1761.80 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1774.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1781.97 |
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