#GBPUSD @ 1.17920 Pound among worst performers in G10 space after Autumn budget. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
…
This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]
- Pound among worst performers in G10 space after Autumn budget.
- US Dollar remains strong despite mixed US economic data.
- GBPUSD trims weekly gains on Thursday, and backs away from three-month highs.
The pair currently trades last at 1.17920.
The previous day high was 1.1942 while the previous day low was 1.1832. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.19, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1874, expected to provide resistance.
The GBPUSD pair dropped further during the American session and bottomed at 1.1760. It then trimmed losses rising back toward 1.1800. It is losing more than a hundred pips on Thursdays, after US data and UK’s budget presentation.
On Thursday in the United Kingdom, Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt presented the Autumn Statement, the budget of the Primer Minister Rishi Sunak. The budget was largely as expected by analysts. Hunt presented an increase in taxes of £55 billion and spending cuts in order to restore the UK’s fiscal reputation after a chaotic September and October.
“The UK government announced the largest tax increases and spending cuts in a decade, becoming the first major Western economy to start sharply limiting its spending growth after years of ramped-up fiscal stimulus during the pandemic and recent energy subsidies,” reported the WSJ. The pound hit fresh daily lows across the board during the presentation but falling at a moderate pace.
Economic data from the US showed an unexpected decline in the Philly Fed to -19.4 in November from -8.7. Continuing Jobless Claims rose to the highest level since April. Housing Starts and Building Permits dropped less than expected. The US Dollar initially doped after the reports, trimming gains but after a few minutes it resumed the upside, hitting fresh daily highs.
The DXY is hovering around 107.00, up 0.69% for the day. US yields are higher with the US 10-year bond yield at 3.79% and the 2-year note at 4.44%.
For the third consecutive day, GBPUSD failed to hold above 1.1950 and pulled back. The pound needs to post a daily close above that could open the doors for a recovery of 1.20 and more. The next critical target is the 200-day Simple Moving Average at 1.2240.
If the ongoing correction extends, the area around 1.1740 emerges as a strong support that should favor a rebound. The following support is seen at 1.1640. A slide below would target the 20-day SMA at 1.1560.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1782 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1919 and is trading with a change of -1.15 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1782 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0137 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.1500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1919 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1523, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1357 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.165 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2241
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1523 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1357 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1650 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2241 |
The previous day high was 1.1942 while the previous day low was 1.1832. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.19, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1874, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1853, 1.1787, 1.1742
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1964, 1.2008, 1.2075
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1942 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1832 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1855 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1291 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1646 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0924 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1900 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1874 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1853 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1787 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1742 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1964 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.2008 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.2075 |
[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group




