#USDJPY @ 139.514 USDJPY comes under fresh selling pressure on Tuesday amid broad-based USD weakness. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USDJPY comes under fresh selling pressure on Tuesday amid broad-based USD weakness.
• Bets for smaller Fed rate hikes, sliding US bond yields continue to weigh on the greenback.
• A positive risk tone might undermine the safe-haven JPY and help limit losses for the pair.

The pair currently trades last at 139.514.

The previous day high was 140.8 while the previous day low was 138.78. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.03, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.55, expected to provide resistance.

The USDJPY pair retreats nearly 150 pips from the daily swing high and drops to a fresh intraday low, around the 139.20-139.15 region during the first half of the European session.

The US Dollar comes under renewed selling pressure on Tuesday and hits a fresh three-month low, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor exerting downward pressure on the USDJPY pair. Indications that the worst of the post-pandemic price spike is over reaffirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its policy tightening in the coming months. In fact, Fed fund futures point to over a 90% chance of a 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in December and continues to weigh on the greenback.

The repricing of the pace of the Fed’s rate-hiking cycle is evident from a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields. The resultant narrowing of the US-Japan rate differential offers some support to the Japanese Yen and further contributes to the offered tone surrounding the USDJPY pair. That said, speculations that the Bank of Japan will stick to its dovish policy stance, bolstered by Tuesday’s weaker domestic growth figures, could act as a headwind for the Japanese Yen. This could limit losses for the major.

Government data released this Tuesday showed that the Japanese economy unexpectedly contracted at an annual rate of 1.2% during the July-September quarter. The reading was well below the 4.6% growth recorded in the second quarter and a 1.1% expansion estimated. Furthermore, a generally positive tone around the equity markets, which tends to undermine the safe-haven JPY, supports prospects for the emergence of some buying around the USDJPY pair. This, in turn, warrants caution before positioning for a further slide.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index and Producer Price Index (PPI) later during the early North American session. Apart from this, speeches by influential FOMC members and the US bond yields will drive the USD demand. This, along with the broader risk sentiment, might contribute to producing some trading opportunities around the USDJPY pair.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDJPY currently trading at 139.32 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 139.68 and is trading with a change of -0.26 % .

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 146.6, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 145.37 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 140.81 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 132.86

The previous day high was 140.8 while the previous day low was 138.78. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 140.03, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 139.55, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 138.71, 137.74, 136.7
• Pivot resistance is noted at 140.73, 141.77, 142.74

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