Silver reached a fresh four-and-half-month high, around $21.83, after a soft US inflation report. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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Silver reached a fresh four-and-half-month high, around $21.83, after a soft US inflation report. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • Silver reached a fresh four-and-half-month high, around $21.83, after a soft US inflation report.
  • October’s inflation in the US was lower than estimated, increasing the likelihood of lower-interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve.
  • US initial jobless claims jumped the most, flashing that the labor market is beginning to ease.

The pair currently trades last at 21.63.

The previous day high was 21.61 while the previous day low was 21.0. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 21.23, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 21.37, expected to provide support.

Silver price is skyrocketing to a fresh four-and-half-month high, in the mid-North American session, following a US inflation report that came softer than economists’ expectations, and weighed on the US Dollar, while US Treasury yields plunged, a tailwind for precious metals prices. The XAGUSD is trading at $21.63.

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for October showed that inflation is finally easing, with headline CPI figures jumping 7.7% YoY, below expectations of 7.9%, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, fell to 6.3% YoY, below estimates of 6.5%. That said, the US Dollar weakened across the board, while US Treasury bond yields plunged, with the 10-year down 24 bps at 3.857%.

At the time of typing, US equities are rallying sharply, led by the Nasdaq, up by almost 6%. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback’s value vs. a basket of peers, slides 1.71% at 108.527, a tailwind for the white metal.

At the same time, the US labor market updated the unemployment claim figures, which were overshadowed by the US inflation report. Initial Jobless Claims for the last week rose by 225K vs. 220K estimates

Aside from this, Fed officials crossed newswires after the release of US economic data. Dallas Fed President Logan said that October CPI data is welcomed, but there’s a long way to go. She added that the process of cooling the economy is just getting started. Of late, the San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said October’s CPI was good and is just one “example of encouraging data.” She favors slow, steady rises to the Federal Funds rate (FFR), expecting it would peak at around 4.9%.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 21.63 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 21.02 and is trading with a change of 2.9 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 21.63
1 Today Daily Change 0.61
2 Today Daily Change % 2.90
3 Today daily open 21.02

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 19.48, 50 SMA 19.33, 100 SMA @ 19.46 and 200 SMA @ 21.48.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 19.48
1 Daily SMA50 19.33
2 Daily SMA100 19.46
3 Daily SMA200 21.48

The previous day high was 21.61 while the previous day low was 21.0. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 21.23, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 21.37, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 20.8, 20.59, 20.19
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 21.42, 21.82, 22.03
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 21.61
Previous Daily Low 21.00
Previous Weekly High 20.91
Previous Weekly Low 18.84
Previous Monthly High 21.24
Previous Monthly Low 18.09
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 21.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 21.37
Daily Pivot Point S1 20.80
Daily Pivot Point S2 20.59
Daily Pivot Point S3 20.19
Daily Pivot Point R1 21.42
Daily Pivot Point R2 21.82
Daily Pivot Point R3 22.03

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