Gold price is oscillating above $1,700.00 while the risk-off impulse has attempted a rebound. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold price is oscillating above $1,700.00 while the risk-off impulse has attempted a rebound.
- Long-term US Yields are holding 4.14% support as investors are divided over the extent of Fed’s rate hike.
- A decline in consumer spending is expected to weigh on October’s inflation report.
The pair currently trades last at 1709.24.
The previous day high was 1716.95 while the previous day low was 1664.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.01, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1684.7, expected to provide support.
Gold price (XAUUSD) has shifted into a rangebound profile as investors are awaiting the outcome of the US mid-term elections. The precious metal is displaying back-and-forth moves above the psychological support of $1,700.00.
Meanwhile, the risk profile has turned cautious as the market is expecting a win of Republicans in the House of Representatives and is divided on the outcome for the House of Senate, reported Reuters. The US dollar index (DXY) has inched higher to 109.73 while S&P500 futures have trimmed their Tuesday’s gains marginally.
Also, the 10-year US treasury yields have sensed a cushion of around 4.14% as the CME FedWatch tool indicates that investors are divided over the expectations for 50 basis points (bps) or 75 bps rate hikes in December monetary policy.
Going forward, October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will play a pivotal role. Projections are pointing to easing inflationary pressures as consumer spending remained lower in the last quarter at 1.4% vs. the prior release of 2.0%. A slowdown in the inflation rate would extend a rally for gold prices.
On a four-hour scale, the gold price is marching towards the critical resistance of $1,730.00 placed from the October 4 high. The precious metal witnessed a juggernaut rally after surpassing the critical hurdle of $1,679.00 placed from the October 13 high.
Advancing 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,680.00 and $1,664.70 respectively, add to the upside filters.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates more upside ahead.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1709.24 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1712.11 and is trading with a change of -0.17 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1709.24 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -2.87 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.17 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1712.11 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1654.56, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1673.64 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1717.62 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1804.42
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1654.56 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1673.64 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1717.62 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1804.42 |
The previous day high was 1716.95 while the previous day low was 1664.76. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1697.01, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1684.7, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1678.93, 1645.75, 1626.74
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1731.12, 1750.13, 1783.31
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1716.95 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1664.76 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1682.49 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1616.69 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1729.58 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1617.35 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1697.01 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1684.70 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1678.93 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1645.75 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1626.74 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1731.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1750.13 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1783.31 |
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