USDJPY turns lower for the second straight day amid sustained USD selling bias. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USDJPY turns lower for the second straight day amid sustained USD selling bias.
- Bears await a break below ascending trend-line support before placing fresh bets.
- Attempted recovery might continue to confront stiff resistance near the 147.55 area.
The pair currently trades last at 146.41.
The previous day high was 148.4 while the previous day low was 146.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 147.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 147.7, expected to provide resistance.
The USDJPY pair struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains to the 147.55 area and turns lower for the second successive day on Monday. The downward trajectory drags spot prices back below pivotal support near the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, with bears now awaiting a break below the 146.00 mark before placing fresh bets.
The US Dollar adds to the post-NFP heavy losses and drops to over a one-week low amid speculations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its rate-hiking cycle. Apart from this, expectations that Japanese authorities might intervene again to soften any steep fall in the domestic currency exert some downward pressure on the USDJPY pair.
That said, the risk-on impulse might keep a lid on any meaningful gains for the safe-haven JPY and help limit deeper losses. This, along with a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Fed and the Bank of Japan, supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying around the USDJPY pair, warranting caution for bearish traders.
From a technical perspective, the 146.00 round figure coincides with a one-and-half-week-old ascending trend-line support. Some follow-through fall might prompt aggressive technical selling and make the USDJPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent fall has the potential to drag spot prices towards the late October low, around the 145.00 psychological mark.
On the flip side, the 146.80 region now seems to act as an immediate hurdle ahead of the 147.00 level. Any further move up might continue to confront stiff resistance near the daily top, around the 147.55 region. A sustained strength beyond the latter could allow the USDJPY pair to reclaim the 148.00 mark and test the 148.35-148.45 supply zone.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 146.41 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 146.68 and is trading with a change of -0.18 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 146.41 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.27 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.18 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 146.68 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 147.85, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 144.96 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 140.36 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 132.01
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 147.85 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 144.96 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 140.36 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 132.01 |
The previous day high was 148.4 while the previous day low was 146.56. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 147.26, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 147.7, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 146.02, 145.37, 144.18
- Pivot resistance is noted at 147.87, 149.06, 149.72
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 148.40 |
| Previous Daily Low | 146.56 |
| Previous Weekly High | 148.85 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 145.67 |
| Previous Monthly High | 151.94 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 143.53 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 147.26 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 147.70 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 146.02 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 145.37 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 144.18 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 147.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 149.06 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 149.72 |
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