US Dollar extends losses during the American session. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US Dollar extends losses during the American session.
- NFP surpasses expectations, but does not help dollar.
- USDCHF erases most weekly gains, back under parity.
The pair currently trades last at 0.9956.
The previous day high was 1.0148 while the previous day low was 1.0004. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0093, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0059, expected to provide resistance.
The USDCHF is falling almost two hundred pips on Friday, on the worst performance in weeks, amid a broad-based Dollar slide. The better-than-expected US jobs numbers did not help the dollar, that is ending the week pointing to further weakness.
The pair recently hit a fresh two daily low at 0.9940 and it remains with a bearish bias. The next support stands around 0.9920. The reversal from the 1.0150 area, that again capped the upside, is firm.
The US official employment report showed numbers above expectations, although the slowest monthly gain in jobs since December 2020. The labor market remains healthy.
The US Dollar initially rose following the NFP but then reversed sharply, resuming the decline. “The currency market looks to be more concerned about speculation of a relaxation of China’s zero COVID policy than a firmer jobs report or higher Fed terminal rate, which may be more influential in triggering some positioning adjustments. The easy phase of the USD’s bid is behind us, but the onus will be on regional prospects to undermine the USD. Near-term, we think there may be more noise-than-signal in the FX space”, commented analysts at TD Securities.
The US dollar is still marginally higher for the week but is far from the highs, on a busy week that included a 75 basis points rate hike from the Federal Reserve. Next week, on Tuesday are US mid-term elections and on Thursday CPI data is due. Inflation numbers will be the highlight of the week and will likely impact markets.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 0.9956 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0132 and is trading with a change of -1.74 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9956 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0176 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -1.7400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0132 |
The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.9989, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.9845 , above its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.9733 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.9608
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9989 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9845 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9733 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9608 |
The previous day high was 1.0148 while the previous day low was 1.0004. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0093, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0059, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0042, 0.9952, 0.9899
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0185, 1.0238, 1.0328
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0148 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0004 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0032 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9842 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0148 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9781 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0093 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0059 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0042 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9952 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9899 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0185 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0238 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0328 |
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