New Zealand’s dollar picks up from session lows at 0.5740, returns to the 0.5780 area. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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New Zealand’s dollar picks up from session lows at 0.5740, returns to the 0.5780 area. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • New Zealand’s dollar picks up from session lows at 0.5740, returns to the 0.5780 area.
  • The kiwi has lost nearly 1% following US Fed’s monetary policy decision.
  • NZDUSD should break 0.5880 before further appreciation is likely – UOB.

The pair currently trades last at 0.5784.

The previous day high was 0.5944 while the previous day low was 0.5813. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5863, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5894, expected to provide resistance.

The New Zealand dollar has trimmed losses on Thursday’s US session, bouncing up from one-week lows at 0.5740 and returning to 0.5780 so far. The par, however, is 0.6% lower on the day and has lost nearly 1% following the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision.

The greenback outperformed the rest of the majors on Thursday, boosted by the hawkish comments of the Federal Reserve’s president, Jerome Powell, at the press release held after the monetary policy decision was released.

The bank met expectations with a 0.75% hike, but Powell signaled to further monetary tightening and suggested that rates might peak at levels above the market expectations. These comments surprised the markets, which had anticipated the possibility of a dovish pivot, and sent the US dollar rallying.

US macroeconomic data dented US strength earlier today, with the ISM Services PMI deteriorating to 54.4 in October from 56.7 in September, beyond the 55.5 expected.

Furthermore, preliminary data anticipated that US non-farm productivity increased by 0.3%, well below the consensus of 0.6% in the third quarter, with unit labor costs slowing down to 3.5% from 8.9% in the previous quarter.

FX analysts at UOB see the pair in a consolidative mood while below 0.5880: NZD could rise, but it has to close above 0.5880 before further sustained advance is likely. NZD did not close above 0.5880 and yesterday (02 Nov), it dropped to a low of 0.5815 before extending its decline in early Asian trade. Upward pressure has subsided and we expect NZD to trade between 0.5740 and 0.5900 for the time being.”

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

EURUSD currently trading at 0.5784 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5819 and is trading with a change of -0.6 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.5784
1 Today Daily Change -0.0035
2 Today Daily Change % -0.6000
3 Today daily open 0.5819

The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.5696, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 0.5844 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 0.6049 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 0.6348

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.5696
1 Daily SMA50 0.5844
2 Daily SMA100 0.6049
3 Daily SMA200 0.6348

The previous day high was 0.5944 while the previous day low was 0.5813. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.5863, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5894, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.5773, 0.5728, 0.5643
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.5904, 0.599, 0.6035
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.5944
Previous Daily Low 0.5813
Previous Weekly High 0.5874
Previous Weekly Low 0.5657
Previous Monthly High 0.5874
Previous Monthly Low 0.5512
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.5863
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.5894
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5773
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5728
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5643
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.5904
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.5990
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6035

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