#GBPUSD @ 1.15488 A combination of factors lifts to a fresh six-week high on Wednesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- A combination of factors lifts GBP/USD to a fresh six-week high on Wednesday.
- New UK PM pledges to fix his predecessor’s policy errors and underpins sterling.
- Reduced bets for more aggressive Fed rate hikes continue to weigh on the USD.
- A softer risk tone helps limit losses for the safe-haven buck and caps the major.
The pair currently trades last at 1.15488.
The previous day high was 1.15 while the previous day low was 1.1271. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1412, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1358, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair retreats a few pips from a six-week high touched earlier this Wednesday and is trading around mid-1.1500s during the early North American session.
The new British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak pledges to fix mistakes by the Truss administration and boosts investors’ confidence. This leads to a further decline in the UK government borrowing costs and continues to underpin the British pound. Apart from this, the heavily offered tone surrounding the US dollar pushes the GBP/USD pair higher for the second successive day.
Investors scaled back their expectations for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed in reaction to the incoming US macro data, which pointed to a slowdown in the world’s largest economy. This is evident from the ongoing downfall in the US Treasury bond yields, which drags the USD to its lowest level since September 20 during the mid-European session on Wednesday.
That said, a softer risk tone, as depicted by a generally negative sentiment around the equity markets, offers some support to the safe-haven buck and keeps a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair. Investors also seem reluctant and might prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the important US economic releases, including the Advance Q3 GDP report, on Thursday.
From a technical perspective, a convincing break through the 1.1475-1.1480 supply zone and a subsequent strength beyond the 1.1500 psychological mark favours bullish traders. Hence, any meaningful pullback could now be seen as a buying opportunity and is more likely to remain limited near the said resistance breakpoint, now turned support.
Next on tap is the release of the New Home Sales data from the US. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1555 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1471 and is trading with a change of 0.73 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1555 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0084 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.7300 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1471 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.1217, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1401 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.176 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2396
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1217 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1401 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1760 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2396 |
The previous day high was 1.15 while the previous day low was 1.1271. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1412, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1358, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1328, 1.1186, 1.11
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1556, 1.1642, 1.1785
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1500 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1271 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1440 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1060 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1412 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1358 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1328 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1186 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1100 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1556 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1642 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1785 |
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