#GBPUSD @ 1.14665 The pound rallies to 1.1500 on the back of broad-based USD weakness. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- The pound rallies to 1.1500 on the back of broad-based USD weakness.
- Rishi Sunak’s victory has restored investors’ confidence.
- GBP/USDaiming to 1.10 later this year – ING.
The pair currently trades last at 1.14665.
The previous day high was 1.1409 while the previous day low was 1.1258. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1316, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1352, expected to provide support.
The pound has surged from levels right above 1.1300 on Tuesday’s early US market session, rallying all the way to 1.1500 where it seems to have found some resistance. The pair appreciates about 1.70% on the day to erase previous losses and test its highest levels in more than one month.
The victory of Rishi Sunak in the Tory race and his pledge to restore economic stability are bringing back confidence to the markets, terrified with his predecessor’s economic plan. The re-appointment of Jeremy Hunt as chancellor of the exchequer has increased hopes that the next cabinet will be more market-friendly, which is acting as a tailwind for the British pound.
On the other end, the weaker-than-expected US housing prices and consumer confidence data on Tuesday, coupled with the downbeat S&P PMIs released on Monday are increasing concerns about the negative impact on the economy of the Federal Reserve’s radical tightening pace. These latest figures are offering further reasons for the Central Bank to take its foot off the pedal over the coming months.
In this backdrop, the US dollar is losing ground against its main peers, with US Treasury Bonds dropping sharply. The benchmark 10-year yield has plunged from 4.25% earlier on Tuesday to 4.06% at the moment of writing.
FX analysts at IONG, however, are skeptical about the pound’s current bullish reaction: “Clearly, 31 October is going to be another massive day for UK financial markets as Sunak/Hunt present their fiscal fix. But backing the dollar as we do, we doubt GBP/USD needs to trade above 1.15 and retain sub 1.10 targets for later in the year.”
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.1483 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.128 and is trading with a change of 1.8 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1483 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0203 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 1.8000 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1280 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 1.118, above its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.1413 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.1771 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.2407
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1180 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1413 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1771 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2407 |
The previous day high was 1.1409 while the previous day low was 1.1258. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1316, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1352, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1222, 1.1165, 1.1071
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1373, 1.1467, 1.1524
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1409 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1258 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1440 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1060 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1738 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0339 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1316 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1352 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1222 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1165 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1071 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1373 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1467 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1524 |
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