#XAUUSD @ 1652.14 Gold price remains sidelined after rising for the last two consecutive days., @nehcap view: Further weakness expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• Gold price remains sidelined after rising for the last two consecutive days.
• US Treasury yields remain indecisive at multi-month high amid light calendar.
• Risk appetite remains firmer despite hawkish Fedspeak but XAU/USD buyers fear amid DXY’s hesitant fall.

The pair currently trades last at 1652.14.

The previous day high was 1660.94 while the previous day low was 1645.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1655.21, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1651.66, expected to provide support.

Gold price (XAU/USD) treads water around the mid-$1,600s while struggling to extend the previous gains during Wednesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the bullion traces the market’s inaction amid a lack of major data/events. Even so, the risk-on mood keeps the buyers hopeful ahead of the inflation data from Eurozone, the UK and Canada.

That said, headlines suggesting the Russian military’s hardships in Ukraine and the UK Chancellor’s U-turn on previous fiscal plans join sluggish Treasury yields to keep the market sentiment positive. Alternatively, hawkish Fedspeak and upbeat US data challenge the risk profile and the XAU/USD buyers.

“Until I see some compelling evidence that core inflation has at least peaked, not ready to declare a pause in rate hikes,” said Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday per Reuters. Elsewhere, the US Industrial Production for September rose to 0.4% versus the 0.1% expected while the softer NAHB Housing Market Index for October eased to 38 from 43 market consensus.

While portraying the mood, S&P 500 Futures trace Wall Street’s gains whereas the US 10-year Treasury yields remain sidelined.

Looking forward, the XAU/USD buyers need to have softer prints of the upcoming inflation numbers and additional positives for Ukraine, as well as the UK, to keep the reins.

Although the gold price struggles to extend the recovery from a three-week-old horizontal support area near $1,640, the metal defends the previous day’s upside break of a fortnight-long descending resistance line, now support around $1,647.

That said, the bearish MACD signals and sluggish RSI, as well as the XAU/USD’s sustained trading below the 21 and 50-DMA, respectively around $1,669 and $1,703, keeps the sellers hopeful.

Hence, the bullion is on the bear’s radar but a clear downside break of $1,640 appears necessary to renew the fall toward the yearly low of $1,615.

It should be noted, however, that a clear upside break of the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding $1,703 will propel the quote toward the monthly high near $1,730.

Trend: Further weakness expected

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

XAUUSD currently trading at 1652.44 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1652.2 and is trading with a change of 0.01% % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1669.72, 50 SMA 1705.58, 100 SMA @ 1746.18 and 200 SMA @ 1817.02.

The previous day high was 1660.94 while the previous day low was 1645.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1655.21, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1651.66, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 1645.11, 1638.01, 1630.1
• Pivot resistance is noted at 1660.12, 1668.03, 1675.13

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