WTI drops from daily highs of $86.40s to $82.20s on Tuesday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- WTI drops from daily highs of $86.40s to $82.20s on Tuesday.
- Chinese economic indicators remain delayed, with no rescheduling assigned by the government.
- The US will release oil from its SPR reserve to keep gasoline prices down.
The pair currently trades last at 81.59.
The previous day high was 86.18 while the previous day low was 83.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 85.24, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 84.65, expected to provide resistance.
The US crude oil benchmark, also known as Western Texas Intermediate or WTI, dived more than 3% on Tuesday amidst a risk-on impulse on fears that a global economic slowdown might dent oil’s demand. At the same time, the delayed Chinese GDP release weighs on investors’ moods. At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $82.69 per barrel, losing more than 3%.
US equities are trading in the green, supported by earnings. The delay of important Chinese data weighs on WTI traders’ mood, as speculation that growth could have weakened means less demand for black gold. Also, extending its Covid-19 zero-tolerance program might hurt the development of the world’s second-largest economy.
In the meantime, according to Reuters, the US Biden administration plans to sell additional oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) as the White House tries to control gasoline prices before November’s mid-term elections.
Meanwhile, on Tuesday, OPEC’s secretary general Haitham al-Ghais said that the cartel unanimously decided to cut oil output to prevent a crisis and stem a tide of volatility.
“With macro-economic headwinds forecast for the months ahead and the very real potential for a global recession, which some might say has already started in some parts of the world, there was a consensus amongst the ministers of the need to act now and prevent a crisis later on,” he added.
WTI is neutral-to-downward biased, as shown by the daily chart. On Tuesday, prices tumbled below the 20-day EMa, extending its losses as sellers eye $80.00 per barrel, which is likely to happen as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), crossed below 50, with enough room before reaching oversold conditions. Therefore, WTI’s first support would be the S3 daily pivot at $82.08, followed by the $81.00 mark, ahead of the S4 pivot point at $80.83, and then the $80.00 mark.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XTIUSD currently trading at 81.59 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 84.71 and is trading with a change of -3.68 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 81.59 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -3.12 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -3.68 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 84.71 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 84.15, 50 SMA 86.96, 100 SMA @ 95.43 and 200 SMA @ 97.23.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 84.15 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 86.96 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 95.43 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 97.23 |
The previous day high was 86.18 while the previous day low was 83.71. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 85.24, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 84.65, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 83.56, 82.4, 81.09
- Pivot resistance is noted at 86.02, 87.33, 88.49
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 86.18 |
| Previous Daily Low | 83.71 |
| Previous Weekly High | 92.63 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 84.29 |
| Previous Monthly High | 90.14 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 76.08 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 85.24 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 84.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 83.56 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 82.40 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 81.09 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 86.02 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 87.33 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 88.49 |
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