#AUDUSD @ 0.63231 has soared to near 0.6320 as the risk-on impulse has strengthened further. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
…
This is a premium post.
[s2If !current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]Please register for PREMIUM VERSION HERE to read full post below containing analysis. In case of any error or you think you are not able to read the full post below, please email us at support#nehcap.com [lwa][/s2If] [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level4)]
- AUD/USD has soared to near 0.6320 as the risk-on impulse has strengthened further.
- The DXY has surrendered the cushion of 112.00 and is exposed to further weakness.
- Risks from global and domestic demand were responsible for a less-hawkish RBA policy.
The pair currently trades last at 0.63231.
The previous day high was 0.6312 while the previous day low was 0.6197. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6268, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6241, expected to provide support.
The AUD/USD pair has sensed a fresh buying interest from around 0.6280 and has reclaimed the round-level resistance of 0.6300 firmly. The aussie bulls have been underpinned amid a short-lived pullback in the US dollar index (DXY). The pullback move in the DXY terminated around 112.25 and the asset revisited below the round-level cushion of 112.00.
The risk-on profile has strengthened as investors have shrugged off pessimism. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have accelerated significantly.
In early Tokyo, the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes brought a slight fall in the asset. The minutes clarify that the central bank trimmed the pace of the rate hike to 25 basis points (bps) to safeguard the economy from shocks of domestic and global subdued demand. Also, the central bank has already pushed interest rates firmly in a short period of time.
On economic prospects, RBA policymakers stated that headline inflation has shown exhaustion signals due to a fall in oil prices while the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is still solid due to escalating prices for services. The administration has achieved a jobless rate of 3.5%, the lowest in the past 50 years.
Meanwhile, hawkish commentary from Michele Bullock, who is the Assistant Governor (Financial System) at the RBA, has spoken today and said the central bank is looking to raise interest rates further over the coming months, adding the bank can achieve a similar rise in rates to its global peers through smaller hikes.
This week, the Australian employment data will hog the limelight. As per the preliminary estimates, the Employment Change will drop to 25k vs. the prior release of 33.5k. While the Unemployment Rate will remain steady at 3.5%.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6313 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6289 and is trading with a change of 0.38 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6313 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0024 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.3800 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6289 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6436, 50 SMA 0.67, 100 SMA @ 0.6825 and 200 SMA @ 0.7028.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6436 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6700 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6825 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.7028 |
The previous day high was 0.6312 while the previous day low was 0.6197. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6268, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6241, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.622, 0.6152, 0.6106
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6335, 0.6381, 0.645
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6312 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6197 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6380 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6170 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6916 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6363 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6268 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6241 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6220 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6152 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6106 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6335 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6381 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6450 |
[/s2If]
Join Our Telegram Group




