#AUDUSD @ 0.64913 has dropped sharply to near 0.6460 on RBA’s 25 bps rate hike announcement. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• AUD/USD has dropped sharply to near 0.6460 on RBA’s 25 bps rate hike announcement.
• The extent of the 25 bps rate hike by the RBA is less than the projections of 50 bps.
• The DXY has surrendered the majority of its intraday gains amid lower consensus for the US NFP data.

The pair currently trades last at 0.64913.

The previous day high was 0.6522 while the previous day low was 0.6402. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6476, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6448, expected to provide support.

The AUD/USD pair as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has hiked its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps). The extent of the rate hike is less than the projections of institutional investors. This has pushed the OCR to 2.6%.

After the announcement of a rate hike of 25 bps, the RBA has inched more towards its target rate of 3.85%. No doubt, the market participants were in favor of hiking the interest rate by 50 bps but a quarter-to-a-percent rate hike was also in the preferred list. RBA Governor Philip Lowe also cited the option of 25 bps in the discussion list, as drafted in RBA monetary policy minutes.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is eyeing more weakness below the immediate cushion of 111.50. The vulnerable performance of the DXY banks upon the poor reading of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for August month. The economic PMI data declined to 50.9 vs. the expectations of 52.2 and the prior release of 52.8. Also, the US ISM New Orders Index that illustrates the forward demand landed significantly lower to 47.1 against the projections of 49.6 and the former figure of 51.3.

Going forward, investors will focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will release on Friday. The employment generation data is seen lower at 250k vs. the last reading of 315k. As per the consensus, the job creation process in the US economy has slowed down led after various firms ditched the recruitment process for the remaining 2023. While the Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 3.7%.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6504 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6515 and is trading with a change of -0.17 % .

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6647, 50 SMA 0.6825, 100 SMA @ 0.69 and 200 SMA @ 0.7072.

The previous day high was 0.6522 while the previous day low was 0.6402. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6476, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6448, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.6438, 0.636, 0.6318
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6558, 0.66, 0.6677

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