#USDCHF @ 0.97550 is expected to fall to near 0.9700 as DXY has lost its appeal on weaker US GDP data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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• USD/CHF is expected to fall to near 0.9700 as DXY has lost its appeal on weaker US GDP data.
• An expectation of a slowdown in the pace of hiking rates by the Fed is weakening the DXY.
• In today’s session, US Michigan CSI is seen to stabilize at 59.5.

The pair currently trades last at 0.97550.

The previous day high was 0.9966 while the previous day low was 0.9746. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.983, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9882, expected to provide resistance.

The USD/CHF pair is eyeing more weakness in the Asian session amid a drop below the critical support of 0.9750. The asset is declining towards the round-level support of 0.9700 as the US dollar index (DXY) is going through severe pain on expectations of a slowdown in the pace of hiking interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Currently, the Fed is busy preparing a monetary policy roadmap for the remaining 2022. Fed policymakers are of the view that bigger rate hikes are still in vision as price pressures have not shown a significant decline yet.

In case of bigger rate hike announcements in the first week of November and the mid of December when the Fed has scheduled policy meetings, the deviation from a terminal rate of 4.6% will remain extremely low. This will force the Fed to calm down the rate hike spree and stay with the rates for a longer period till the observation of a decline in inflationary pressures for several months.

Apart from that, weaker US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data brought weakness to the DXY. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a decline in the extent of economic activities consecutively by 0.6% on an annualized basis. Going forward, the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) data will remain in focus. The sentiment data is expected to remain steady at 59.5.

Meanwhile, the Swiss franc bulls are awaiting the release of the Real Retail Sales data. The economic data is expected to improve by 3.6% vs. the prior improvement of 2.4% on an annual basis. This is going to delight the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to sound hawkish on interest rates in the fourth quarter monetary policy unhesitatingly.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

USDCHF currently trading at 0.9744 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9763 and is trading with a change of -0.19 % .

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.9726, 50 SMA 0.9641, 100 SMA @ 0.9684 and 200 SMA @ 0.9506.

The previous day high was 0.9966 while the previous day low was 0.9746. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.983, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9882, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

• Pivot support is noted at 0.9684, 0.9605, 0.9464
• Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9904, 1.0045, 1.0124

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