#AUDUSD @ 0.64852 comes under renewed selling pressure on Thursday amid resurgent USD demand. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/USD comes under renewed selling pressure on Thursday amid resurgent USD demand.
- Aggressive Fed rate hike bets trigger a fresh leg up in the US bond yields and lift the buck.
- The risk-off impulse further contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie.
The pair currently trades last at 0.64852.
The previous day high was 0.6531 while the previous day low was 0.6363. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6467, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6427, expected to provide support.
The AUD/USD pair recovers a few pips from the daily low and climbs to the 0.6480-0.6485 region during the early North American session, still down nearly 0.60% for the day.
The US dollar regains positive traction on Thursday and prompts fresh selling around the AUD/USD pair, forcing spot prices to reverse a part of the overnight recovery move from its lowest level since April 2020. The recent hawkish comments from a slew of FOMC members reaffirm expectations that the US central bank will continue to hike interest rates at a faster pace to curb inflation. This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields and helps revive demand for the greenback.
Apart from this, the risk-off impulse offers additional support to the safe-haven buck and further contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie. The prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, along with growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn, continue to temper investors’ appetite for riskier assets. This is evident from a sea of red across the global equity markets, which tends to boost demand for the traditional safe-haven greenback.
On the economic data front, the final US GDP report showed that the world’s largest economy contracted by 0.6% during the second quarter, matching the previous estimate. Separately, the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims fell from 209K to 193K during the week ended September 22. The data, however, did little to provide any meaningful impetus. That said, a pickup in demand for the British pound exerts some pressure on the greenback and lends some support to the AUD/USD pair. The fundamental backdrop, however, remains tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6478 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6523 and is trading with a change of -0.69 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6478 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0045 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.6900 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6523 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6696, 50 SMA 0.6853, 100 SMA @ 0.6913 and 200 SMA @ 0.7084.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6696 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6853 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6913 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.7084 |
The previous day high was 0.6531 while the previous day low was 0.6363. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6467, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6427, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6414, 0.6305, 0.6246
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6581, 0.664, 0.6749
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6531 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6363 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6748 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6512 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.7137 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6835 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6467 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6427 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6414 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6305 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6246 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6581 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6640 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6749 |
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