#GBPUSD @ 1.08161 meets with a fresh supply on Thursday and erodes a major part of the previous day’s gains. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD meets with a fresh supply on Thursday and erodes a major part of the previous day’s gains.
- The reaction to the BoE’s move to buy government bonds fades amid concerns about rising UK debt.
- A goodish pickup in the US bond yields revives the USD demand and contributes to the intraday slide.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08161.
The previous day high was 1.0916 while the previous day low was 1.054. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0772, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0683, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s strong rally of over 175 pips and comes under renewed selling pressure on Thursday. The intraday downfall extends through the early European session and drags spot prices momentarily below the 1.0800 mark.
The overnight reaction to the Bank of England’s intervention fizzles out rather quickly amid the lack of confidence in the UK government’s ability to manage the ballooning public debt. This continues to undermine the British pound, which, along with the emergence of some US dollar dip-buying, is exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
It is worth mentioning that the UK central bank announced on Wednesday that it will start buying long-dated UK government bonds to help restore orderly market conditions. The move, however, fails to ease jitters over the UK’s tax-cut plan, which could stretch Britain’s finances to their limits and derail the BoE’s efforts to contain sky-high inflation.
The USD, on the other hand, stalls its sharp retracement slide from a new two-decade high touched on Wednesday amid a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. Growing acceptance that the Fed will continue to hike interest rates at a faster pace to combat stubbornly high inflation continues to act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and the greenback.
The GBP/USD pair, meanwhile, erodes a major part of the previous day’s gains and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak. In the absence of any relevant economic data from the UK, traders on Thursday will take cues from a speech by BoE Deputy Governor David Ramsden. Apart from this, the US macro releases would be looked upon for a fresh impetus.
The US economic docket features the release of the final Q2 GDP print and the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data later during the early North American session. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members and the US bond yields, will drive the greenback demand and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0808 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.089 and is trading with a change of -0.75 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0808 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0082 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.7500 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0890 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1341, 50 SMA 1.1736, 100 SMA @ 1.2 and 200 SMA @ 1.2616.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1341 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1736 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2000 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2616 |
The previous day high was 1.0916 while the previous day low was 1.054. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0772, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0683, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0648, 1.0405, 1.0271
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1024, 1.1158, 1.1401
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0916 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0540 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1461 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0840 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0772 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0683 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0648 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0405 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.0271 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1024 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1158 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1401 |
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