#AUDJPY @ 93.5820 is eyeing to cross 94.00 amid a decline in Aussie’s August CPI to 6.8%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDJPY @ 93.5820 is eyeing to cross 94.00 amid a decline in Aussie’s August CPI to 6.8%. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/JPY is eyeing to cross 94.00 amid a decline in Aussie’s August CPI to 6.8%.
  • Monthly CPI covers updated prices for between 62-73% of the weight of the quarterly CPI basket.
  • The unscheduled bond-buying program and fading impact of BOJ’s intervention have weakened yen.

The pair currently trades last at 93.5820.

The previous day high was 94.05 while the previous day low was 92.13. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 93.32, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 92.86, expected to provide support.

The AUD/JPY pair is marching north to surpass the critical hurdle of 94.00 amid a first-time release of the Australian monthly inflation indicator. August’s reading has remained lower at 6.8% vs. July’s reading of 7%.

In order to provide a timelier indication of price pressures, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has introduced a monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicator that inculcates the same data used in quarterly CPI mechanics. Each month will include updated prices for between 62 and 73 percent of the weight of the quarterly CPI basket, as reported by ABS.

It is worth noting that the quarterly Australian inflation data was recorded at 6.1% for the second quarter. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is continuously working on taming the soaring price pressures. RBA Governor Philip Lowe has already accelerated its Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 2.35%.

On Wednesday, the aussie dollar rebounded sharply after the release of better-than-projected Aussie monthly Retail Sales data. The economic data landed at 0.6%, higher than the estimates of 0.4%, but lower than the prior release of 1.3%.

Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is losing its grip on the risk barometer as the impact of the Bank of Japan (BOJ)’s intervention in the currency markets is fading away. It seems that the BOJ is highly needed to restrict policy easing to safeguard yen from a further impulsive wave of depreciation. Also, an unscheduled bond-purchase program by the BOJ has weakened the yen bulls.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDJPY currently trading at 93.65 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 94.05 and is trading with a change of -0.43 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 93.65
1 Today Daily Change -0.40
2 Today Daily Change % -0.43
3 Today daily open 94.05

The pair is trading below its 20 Daily moving average @ 95.78, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 94.86 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 93.87 and above its 200 Daily moving average @ 90.26

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 95.78
1 Daily SMA50 94.86
2 Daily SMA100 93.87
3 Daily SMA200 90.26

The previous day high was 94.05 while the previous day low was 92.13. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 93.32, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 92.86, expected to provide support.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 92.76, 91.48, 90.84
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 94.69, 95.34, 96.62
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 94.05
Previous Daily Low 92.13
Previous Weekly High 96.54
Previous Weekly Low 93.39
Previous Monthly High 96.20
Previous Monthly Low 90.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 93.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 92.86
Daily Pivot Point S1 92.76
Daily Pivot Point S2 91.48
Daily Pivot Point S3 90.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 94.69
Daily Pivot Point R2 95.34
Daily Pivot Point R3 96.62

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