#GBPUSD @ 1.06942 fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the all-time low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#GBPUSD @ 1.06942 fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the all-time low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • GBP/USD fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the all-time low.
  • IMF criticized the latest moves from British government, BOE.
  • UK Chancellor Kwarteng remains optimistic, BOE’s Pill also tried to convince bulls but both failed.
  • European energy crisis, firmer yields and US data also weigh on the prices ahead of speeches from Fed, BOE policymakers.

The pair currently trades last at 1.06942.

The previous day high was 1.0838 while the previous day low was 1.0655. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0768, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0725, expected to provide resistance.

GBP/USD resumes a downtrend, after a brief pause on flashing the record low, as the cable bears cheer the UK’s economic hardships and the upbeat catalysts for the US dollar. That said, the quote refreshed intraday low to 1.0686 during Wednesday’s Asian session.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) openly criticized Britain’s new economic strategy on Tuesday, following another slide in bond markets that forced the Bank of England (BOE) to promise a “significant” response to stabilize the economy, reported Reuters.

Alternatively, “Normalizing monetary policy is not a race between countries and markets are sometimes uncomfortable with that,” Bank of England (BOE) Chief Economist Huw Pill said on Tuesday. On the same line, British Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng also tried to placate GBP/USD bears while saying that they will have a credible plan to reduce debt-to-GDP.

Elsewhere, Leaks in Russia’s gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea raise woes that the Eurozone’s energy supply problems are likely to be permanent. The same intensify fears of recession inside the bloc, especially amid an absence of impressive data and inflation fears.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remained mildly bid around the two-decade high as US Durable Goods Orders declined by 0.2% in August versus the market forecasts of -0.4% and the revised down prior reading of -0.1%. Additionally, US CB Consumer Confidence improved for the second consecutive month to 108.00 for September versus 104.5 expected and 103.20 prior.

Despite the upbeat data, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said, “At some point, it will be appropriate to slow the pace of rate increases and hold rates for a while to assess the impact on the economy.” However, markets cared more for St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard who mentioned that they have a serious inflation problem in the US, as reported by Reuters. “More rate rises to come in future meetings.” Additionally, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said the central bank is moving “very aggressively,” and there is a high risk of “overdoing it.”

While portraying the mood, Wall Street closed mixed and yields were firmer, which in turn allowed the S&P 500 Futures remain sluggish around a three-month low.

Moving on, Deputy Governor for Financial Stability of the Bank of England Sir Jon Cunliffe is up for a speech and will be watched closely for clues about the BOE’s next move, amid chatters over a 1.0% rate hike. Further, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak and can entertain the GBP/USD traders.

Unless crossing the 5.5-year-old support line, now resistance around 1.0970, the GBP/USD pair remains on the bear’s radar.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0692 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0732 and is trading with a change of -0.37 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.0692
1 Today Daily Change -0.0040
2 Today Daily Change % -0.3700
3 Today daily open 1.0732

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1378, 50 SMA 1.1758, 100 SMA @ 1.2013 and 200 SMA @ 1.2628.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.1378
1 Daily SMA50 1.1758
2 Daily SMA100 1.2013
3 Daily SMA200 1.2628

The previous day high was 1.0838 while the previous day low was 1.0655. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0768, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0725, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.0645, 1.0559, 1.0462
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0829, 1.0925, 1.1012
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.0838
Previous Daily Low 1.0655
Previous Weekly High 1.1461
Previous Weekly Low 1.0840
Previous Monthly High 1.2294
Previous Monthly Low 1.1599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0768
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0725
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0645
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0559
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0462
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0829
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0925
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1012

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