#EURUSD @ 0.96018 US dollar recovers after September Consumer Confidence data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US dollar recovers after September Consumer Confidence data.
- Stocks move off highs as US 10-year yield hits fresh highs.
- EUR/USD unable to sustain recovery, holds above lows.
The pair currently trades last at 0.96018.
The previous day high was 0.971 while the previous day low was 0.9553. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9613, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.965, expected to provide resistance.
The EUR/USD dropped further after the beginning of the American session and hit levels under 0.9600. It is hovering at 0.9620/25, around the 20-hour SMA without a clear intraday direction. A stronger US dollar weakened the recovery of pair.
Following the release of better-than-expected US Consumer Confidence data, the greenback started to recover from intraday losses across the board. The economic figures pushed US yields higher. The US 10-year yield climbed to 3.97%, hitting the highest since 2010.
At the same time, stocks in the US trimmed gains. The Dow Jones pulled back more than 300 points, and is down by 0.07% while the S&P 500 rises by 0.08%. Stock indices continue to be unable to sustain a rebound suggesting that fear and concerns are still present among market participants, which favors the greenback as investors look for a safe haven.
Comments from European Central Bank officials point to more rate hikes. De Guindos mentioned data will determine the trajectory. At the same time, in the US, Bullard warned they have a serious inflation problem.
If the euro manages to recover above 0.9630 it could gain momentum for another test of 0.9660, the last protection for 0.9700. On the flip side, a consolidation below 0.9600 would expose the cycle low at 0.9548 (Sep 26 low).
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 0.9606 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.961 and is trading with a change of -0.04 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9606 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0004 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9610 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.9945, 50 SMA 1.0069, 100 SMA @ 1.0274 and 200 SMA @ 1.0687.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9945 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0069 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0274 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0687 |
The previous day high was 0.971 while the previous day low was 0.9553. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9613, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.965, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9539, 0.9467, 0.9382
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9695, 0.9781, 0.9852
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9710 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9553 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0051 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9668 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0369 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9901 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9613 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9650 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9539 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9467 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9382 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9695 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9781 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9852 |
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