#GBPUSD @ 1.08071 gains some traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD pullback from a 20-year high. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- GBP/USD gains some traction on Tuesday amid a modest USD pullback from a 20-year high.
- Worries about the ballooning UK debt could act as a headwind for sterling and cap the upside.
- Aggressive Fed rate hike bets should limit the USD losses and warrant some caution for bulls.
The pair currently trades last at 1.08071.
The previous day high was 1.0931 while the previous day low was 1.0339. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0565, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0705, expected to provide support.
The GBP/USD pair attracts some buying on Tuesday and maintains its bid tone, above the 1.0800 mark through the early European session.
A combination of factors triggers a modest US dollar pullback from a new two-decade high touched the previous day, which, in turn, is seen acting as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. The risk-on impulse, along with retreating US Treasury bond yields, prompt traders to take some profits off their bullish positions around the safe-haven greenback.
The British pound, on the other hand, draws some support from the overnight special statement from the Bank of England, saying that it will not hesitate to change interest rates as necessary. The BoE added that it is monitoring developments in financial markets very closely, especially after the recent free-fall in the GBP/USD pair to an all-time low.
Despite the aforementioned supporting factors, the GBP/USD pair, so far, has been struggling to gain any meaningful traction. The lack of confidence in the UK government’s ability to manage the ballooning debt, especially after the announcement of a mini-budget on Friday, continues to act as a headwind for sterling and capping the upside.
Furthermore, the prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Federal Reserve should limit any deeper fall for the US bond yields and offer some support to the greenback. This might further contribute to keeping a lid on any meaningful gains for the GBP/USD pair, warranting some caution for aggressive bullish traders.
There isn’t any major market-moving UK economic released due on Tuesday, leaving the GBP/USD pair at the mercy of the USD price dynamics. Hence, the focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at an event in Paris. This, along with the US macro data, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
GBPUSD currently trading at 1.0812 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0687 and is trading with a change of 1.17 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.0812 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0125 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 1.1700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0687 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1.1424, 50 SMA 1.1783, 100 SMA @ 1.2029 and 200 SMA @ 1.2641.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1424 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1783 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.2029 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.2641 |
The previous day high was 1.0931 while the previous day low was 1.0339. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0565, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.0705, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.0374, 1.006, 0.9782
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0966, 1.1244, 1.1558
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0931 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.0339 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1461 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.0840 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.2294 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.1599 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0565 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.0705 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.0374 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.0060 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9782 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0966 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1244 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1558 |
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