#AUDUSD @ 0.64915 remains pressured at 29-month low, retreats of late., @nehcap view: Bearish (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.64915 remains pressured at 29-month low, retreats of late., @nehcap view: Bearish (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD remains pressured at 29-month low, retreats of late.
  • Descending support line from early May, oversold RSI restricts immediate downside.
  • Seven-week-old previous support line guards immediate recovery moves.
  • May 2020 low can lure sellers on defying the bearish channel formation.

The pair currently trades last at 0.64915.

The previous day high was 0.6656 while the previous day low was 0.6512. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6567, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6601, expected to provide resistance.

AUD/USD reverses the early Asian session corrective bounce on Monday as it drops back towards 0.6500, around 0.6515 by the press time. In doing so, the Aussie pair pokes the support line of a 4.5-month-old descending trend channel.

Given the oversold RSI (14) and the nearness to the key support, around 0.6500 by the press time, the Aussie pair may witness a corrective bounce.

The recovery moves, however, remain elusive until crossing a downward sloping trend line from August 05, previous support around the 0.6600 threshold.

Even so, the support-turned-resistance line from July, close to 0.6705 at the latest, could challenge the AUD/USD buyers before giving them control.

Alternatively, a clear downside break of the 0.6500 support could quickly fetch the Aussie pair towards the May 2020 lows near 0.6370.

Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of April-August moves, near 0.6360, could challenge the AUD/USD bears.

Overall, AUD/USD remains on the bear’s radar but the downside room appears limited.

Trend: Bearish

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.6515 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6526 and is trading with a change of -0.17% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6515
1 Today Daily Change -0.0011
2 Today Daily Change % -0.17%
3 Today daily open 0.6526

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6755, 50 SMA 0.6876, 100 SMA @ 0.6927 and 200 SMA @ 0.7094.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6755
1 Daily SMA50 0.6876
2 Daily SMA100 0.6927
3 Daily SMA200 0.7094

The previous day high was 0.6656 while the previous day low was 0.6512. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6567, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6601, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6473, 0.642, 0.6329
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6617, 0.6709, 0.6762
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6656
Previous Daily Low 0.6512
Previous Weekly High 0.6748
Previous Weekly Low 0.6512
Previous Monthly High 0.7137
Previous Monthly Low 0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6567
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6601
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6473
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6420
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6329
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6617
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6709
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6762

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