#USDJPY @ 144.265 is inching higher to capture 145.00 amid Fed’s hawkish guidance on interest rates. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY is inching higher to capture 145.00 amid Fed’s hawkish guidance on interest rates.
- A fight towards bringing price stability seeks sacrifices from growth rate and labor market.
- The Japanese government could intervene in currency markets at any moment.
The pair currently trades last at 144.265.
The previous day high was 144.7 while the previous day low was 143.34. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 144.18, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 143.86, expected to provide support.
The USD/JPY pair has extended its gains after overstepping the immediate hurdle of 144.00 in the early Tokyo session. The asset is looking to recapture Wednesday’s high at 144.70, considering the strength of the greenback bulls. For the first time in the past 24 years, the major is aiming to smash the critical hurdle of 145.00. The asset is expected to achieve the same on hawkish guidance by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Fed’s September monetary policy meeting resulted in a rate hike by a third consecutive 75 basis points (bps). This pushed the terminal rate to 3.00-3.25%. Fed chair Jerome Powell has denied recession signals for now but has elevated targets for Unemployment Rate.
The central bank has warned over declining employment opportunities and has put forward a gloomy outlook on the growth rate. The show-stopper announcement was dictating a peak for the terminal rates, which spilled blood on Wall Street and sent risk-perceived currencies into bearish territory. The Fed believes that the interest rates will top around 4.6% and the institution will hike them to 4.4% by the end of 2023.
The roadmap of fighting the inflation chaos is full of sacrifices by the growth rate, labor market, household sector, and durable goods demand.
On the Tokyo front, the interest rate decision by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will clear the further path for the asset. The BOJ is expected to shift to a ‘neutral’ stance and won’t announce more stimulus. The inflation rate is responding effectively and is expected to continue its modest increment. The odds of intervention in the Fx moves by the BOJ have bolstered after the commentary from Japan’s former Vice Finance Minister Tatsuo Yamasaki.
Japan’s former Vice FM Yamasaki cited that the Japanese administration is ready to intervene in currency markets at any moment if needed, news wires from Bloomberg. He further added that the government doesn’t need to wait for a green light from the US to support the yen.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 144.24 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 144.05 and is trading with a change of 0.13 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 144.24 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.19 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.13 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 144.05 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 141.63, 50 SMA 137.98, 100 SMA @ 135.2 and 200 SMA @ 126.92.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 141.63 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 137.98 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 135.20 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 126.92 |
The previous day high was 144.7 while the previous day low was 143.34. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 144.18, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 143.86, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 143.36, 142.67, 142.0
- Pivot resistance is noted at 144.72, 145.39, 146.08
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 144.70 |
| Previous Daily Low | 143.34 |
| Previous Weekly High | 144.96 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 141.66 |
| Previous Monthly High | 139.08 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 130.40 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 144.18 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 143.86 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 143.36 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 142.67 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 142.00 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 144.72 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 145.39 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 146.08 |
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