#NZDUSD @ 0.58842 drops to its lowest level since April 2020 amid sustained USD buying interest. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- NZD/USD drops to its lowest level since April 2020 amid sustained USD buying interest.
- Retreating US bond yields, the risk-on mood caps the buck and limits losses for the pair.
- Investors now seem to move to the sidelines and await the crucial FOMC policy decision.
The pair currently trades last at 0.58842.
The previous day high was 0.5976 while the previous day low was 0.5885. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.592, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5941, expected to provide resistance.
The NZD/USD pair recovers a few pips from its lowest level since April 2020 touched in the last hour and is currently placed in neutral territory, around the 0.5885 region. That said, any meaningful recovery still seems elusive as investors gear up for another supersized rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
The stronger US CPI report released last week reaffirmed expectations that the USD central bank will continue to tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace. This remains supportive of a strong follow-through US dollar move up to a fresh 20-year peak, which, in turn, should continue to act as a headwind for the NZD/USD pair.
That said, a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields and a generally positive risk tone keep a lid on any further gains for the safe-haven greenback. Apart from this, slightly oversold conditions on short-term charts offer some support to the risk-sensitive kiwi and help limit losses for the NZD/USD pair.
Apart from this, the intraday bounce could further be attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of the highly-anticipated FOMC policy decision, scheduled to be announced later during the US session. The Fed is widely expected to stick to its aggressive policy tightening path and hike interest rates by at least 75 bps.
Apart from this, the focus will be on the updated economic projections and the dot plot. Furthermore, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press conference will be looked upon for clues about future rate hikes. This, in turn, will influence the USD and provide a fresh directional impetus to the NZD/USD pair.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.5884 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.5892 and is trading with a change of -0.14 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.5884 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0008 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.1400 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.5892 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6072, 50 SMA 0.6188, 100 SMA @ 0.6265 and 200 SMA @ 0.6515.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6072 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6188 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6265 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6515 |
The previous day high was 0.5976 while the previous day low was 0.5885. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.592, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.5941, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.5859, 0.5827, 0.5768
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.595, 0.6009, 0.6041
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.5976 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.5885 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6162 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.5940 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6470 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6101 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.5920 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.5941 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.5859 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.5827 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.5768 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.5950 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6009 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6041 |
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