#USDJPY @ 143.667 stays defensive after two-day uptrend, seesaws around the short-term key hurdle., @nehcap view: Limited upside expected (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/JPY stays defensive after two-day uptrend, seesaws around the short-term key hurdle.
- BOJ’s bond-buying announcement caps upside moves ahead of Fed.
- Convergence of 50-SMA, two-week-old ascending trend line restricts immediate downside.
- Double tops around 145.00 appear a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
The pair currently trades last at 143.667.
The previous day high was 143.92 while the previous day low was 142.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 143.54, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 143.31, expected to provide support.
USD/JPY treads water around 143.75 as bulls take a breather after a two-day uptrend to Wednesday’s Asian session.
The yen pair’s latest hesitance to rise further could be linked to the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) readiness for buying Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs). “BOJ offers to buy JGBs at fixed-rate with unlimited amount (Residual maturity of 5YR to 10YR) outright from September 22,” said Reuters.
Technically, the pair’s ability to stay firmer past the short-term key support confluence including the 50-SMA and a fortnight-long rising trend line, around 143.20-15, keeps the USD/JPY buyers hopeful. Also favoring the bulls is the firmer RSI (14), not overbought.
It should be noted, however, that the double tops marked near 145.00 challenge the pair’s immediate upside before directing buyers towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the August 30 to September 09 moves, close to 145.85.
Alternatively, a downside break of 143.15 is an open invitation to the USD/JPY bears as the 100-SMA and the September 09 swing low, respectively around 142.10 and 141.50, will challenge the quote’s further downside.
Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of August 23 to September 07 upside, near 140.40, will precede the 140.00 threshold to limit the USD/JPY downside.
Trend: Limited upside expected
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDJPY currently trading at 143.74 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 143.76 and is trading with a change of -0.01% % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 143.74 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.02 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.01% |
| 3 | Today daily open | 143.76 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 141.29, 50 SMA 137.84, 100 SMA @ 135.06 and 200 SMA @ 126.77.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 141.29 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 137.84 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 135.06 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 126.77 |
The previous day high was 143.92 while the previous day low was 142.93. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 143.54, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 143.31, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 143.15, 142.55, 142.16
- Pivot resistance is noted at 144.14, 144.53, 145.13
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 143.92 |
| Previous Daily Low | 142.93 |
| Previous Weekly High | 144.96 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 141.66 |
| Previous Monthly High | 139.08 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 130.40 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 143.54 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 143.31 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 143.15 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 142.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 142.16 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 144.14 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 144.53 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 145.13 |
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