#AUDNZD @ 1.13012 has stepped up the crucial resistance of 1.1300 on expectations of hawkish RBA minutes. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/NZD has stepped up the crucial resistance of 1.1300 on expectations of hawkish RBA minutes.
- As per the RBA, the OCR and inflation rate will top around 3.85% and 7% respectively.
- NZ Westpac Consumer Survey is seen higher at 87.6 vs. 78.7 reported earlier.
The pair currently trades last at 1.13012.
The previous day high was 1.1294 while the previous day low was 1.1212. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1263, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1243, expected to provide support.
The AUD/NZD pair has violated the crucial resistance of 1.1300 with significant force as investors are expecting signs of more rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes. The cross is scaling sharply higher after establishing above the critical hurdle of 1.1260 on Monday. The asset is expected to display more upside considering the ongoing momentum.
Investors should be aware of the fact that the RBA announced a fourth rate hike of 50 basis points (bps) and pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 2.35% in the September monetary policy meeting. RBA Governor Philip Lowe is continuously accelerating the OCR to scale down the soaring price pressures. The Australian inflation rate has already increased to 6.1%, reading belongs to the second quarter of CY2022.
Apart from that, the RBA policymakers cited that the OCR is expected to peak around 3.85% and the inflation rate will top around 7%. With the current pace of hiking the OCR by 50 bps, the central bank will reach the desired target by December 2022.
On the NZ front, the kiwi bulls have failed to capitalize on upbeat Business NZ PMI data. The economic data landed significantly higher at 58.6 vs. the prior release of 54.4. Going forward, the NZ Westpac Consumer Survey will be keenly watched. As per the preliminary consensus, the sentiment data will land at 87.6 for the third quarter against the former figure of 78.7.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDNZD currently trading at 1.1303 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1284 and is trading with a change of 0.17 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1.1303 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.0019 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.1700 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.1284 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.1197, 50 SMA 1.1124, 100 SMA @ 1.1082 and 200 SMA @ 1.0908.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1.1197 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.1124 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.1082 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0908 |
The previous day high was 1.1294 while the previous day low was 1.1212. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.1263, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1243, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1.1233, 1.1181, 1.115
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1315, 1.1346, 1.1398
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.1294 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1.1212 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.1258 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1.1182 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.1278 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1.0943 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.1263 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1.1243 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1.1233 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1.1181 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1.1150 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.1315 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.1346 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.1398 |
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