#EURUSD @ 0.99919 has slipped below the 1.0000 parity on soaring hawkish Fed bets. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- EUR/USD has slipped below the 1.0000 parity on soaring hawkish Fed bets.
- The DXY has advanced despite Goldman Sachs having posted a bleak growth outlook.
- Further rate hike announcements by the ECB will cause more pain to customers.
The pair currently trades last at 0.99919.
The previous day high was 1.0037 while the previous day low was 0.9945. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0002, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.998, expected to provide support.
The EUR/USD pair has slipped below the magical figure of 1.0000 as the US dollar index (DXY) has advanced amid soaring bets on a bumpers rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The asset has declined sharply after failing to overstep Friday’s high at 1.0036. The major is expected to remain on the tenterhooks ahead.
DXY’s investors have ignored the trimmed growth forecasts for the US economy, cited by the economists at Goldman Sachs. As per the forecasts, the US economy is expected to deliver a growth of 1.1% in its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 2023 vs. the prior consensus of 1.5%. The investment firm has slashed the growth targets due to further tightening of the monetary policy, which will squeeze liquidity from the economy dramatically.
Meanwhile, the market risk profile has turned sour as US President Joe Biden says the US military would defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion by China.
The Fed is most likely announcing a third consecutive rate hike by 75 basis points (bps). The extent of the rate could be stretched further amid a vulnerable response by the inflation rate to the current pace of hiking policy rates.
On the Eurozone front, the shared currency bulls have weakened as European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers have displayed a gloomy growth picture. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane said on Saturday per Reuters. “At 0.75%, the ECB’s deposit rate is still too low as it continues to stimulate the economy, so the ECB’s job is not yet done,” He also cited that higher interest rates will accelerate pain for consumers and will squeeze demand further.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
EURUSD currently trading at 0.9996 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.0017 and is trading with a change of -0.21 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9996 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0021 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.2100 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1.0017 |
The pair is trading above its 20 Daily moving average @ 0.9987, below its 50 Daily moving average @ 1.0098 , below its 100 Daily moving average @ 1.0318 and below its 200 Daily moving average @ 1.0731
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9987 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1.0098 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1.0318 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1.0731 |
The previous day high was 1.0037 while the previous day low was 0.9945. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.0002, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.998, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9963, 0.9908, 0.9871
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1.0054, 1.0091, 1.0146
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1.0037 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9945 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1.0198 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9945 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1.0369 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9901 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1.0002 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9980 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9963 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9908 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9871 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1.0054 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1.0091 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1.0146 |
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