#XAUUSD @ 1675.99 Gold prices are advancing towards $1,700.00 amid a subdued DXY on the US warning to China. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold prices are advancing towards $1,700.00 amid a subdued DXY on the US warning to China.
- US President Joe Biden says the US military would defend Taiwan if China strikes the latter.
- A third consecutive 75 bps rate hike is highly expected by the Fed.
The pair currently trades last at 1675.99.
The previous day high was 1680.39 while the previous day low was 1654.17. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1670.37, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1664.19, expected to provide support.
Gold price (XAU/USD) has turned sideways around $1,680.00 after sensing a fragile hurdle in the Asian session. The precious metal has shifted into a mark-up phase after delivering an upside break of the consolidation formed in a range of $1,654.35-1,669.80. The yellow metal has rebounded firmly after refreshing a two-year low at $1,654.19 last week.
The gold prices are expected to remain volatile ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As per the consensus, the Fed is expected to announce a third consecutive 75 basis points (bps) interest rate hike. However, doors are open for a higher rate extent as price pressures are needed to contain sooner.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is oscillating around the critical support of 109.50 as market veterans have slashed the US growth rates. Economists at Goldman Sachs have trimmed the growth forecasts for 2023. The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to increase by 1.1% as Fed’s tightening path along with the current restrictive policy will prove less room for growth in the scale of economic activities.
Also, the risk profile will be at play as US President Joe Biden says the US military would defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion by China.
Gold prices are advancing towards the demand zone placed in a narrow range of $1,692.00-1,693.00 on an hourly scale. The precious metal has crossed the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,676.45, which adds to the upside filters. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is on the verge of shifting into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1677.06 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1674.76 and is trading with a change of 0.14 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1677.06 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 2.30 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.14 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1674.76 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1716.79, 50 SMA 1737.26, 100 SMA @ 1785.5 and 200 SMA @ 1831.32.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1716.79 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1737.26 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1785.50 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1831.32 |
The previous day high was 1680.39 while the previous day low was 1654.17. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1670.37, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1664.19, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1659.16, 1643.55, 1632.94
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1685.38, 1695.99, 1711.6
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1680.39 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1654.17 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1735.17 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1654.17 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1670.37 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1664.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1659.16 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1643.55 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1632.94 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1685.38 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1695.99 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1711.60 |
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