#AUDJPY @ 97.5500 is marching towards 98.00 on higher consensus for Australian employment data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- AUD/JPY is marching towards 98.00 on higher consensus for Australian employment data.
- Australian Employment Change is seen extremely higher at 50k against job layouts of 40.9k.
- RBA’s fourth rate hike by 50 bps poured fresh blood into the aussie bulls.
The pair currently trades last at 97.5500.
The previous day high was 97.92 while the previous day low was 97.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.4, expected to provide support.
The AUD/JPY pair has displayed a powerful rebound after a gap down opening around 97.00 on Monday. The asset is advancing firmly towards the immediate hurdle of 98.00 amid an overall bullish bias towards the risk barometer. Broadly, a break above 94.80-96.10 has already strengthened the aussie bulls.
The antipodean witnessed buying interest from the market participants after the announcement of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). RBA Governor Philip Lowe went hawkish and announced a hike by 50 basis points (bps) consecutively for the fourth time to address its foremost priority of scaling down price pressures. Currently, RBA’s Official Cash Rate (OCR) stands at 2.35%.
The central bank has set a target for interest rate elevation and has forecasted the area where inflationary pressures will find their peak. The RBA is looking to escalate its OCR further to 3.85%. Also, the inflation rate will top around 7%. It is worth noting that the inflation rate for the second quarter of CY2022 has been recorded at 6.1%.
Going forward, the Australian employment data will hog the limelight. As per the consensus, the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain stable at 3.4%. The show stopper data will be Employment Change, which is seen extremely higher at 50k against job cuts of 40.9k.
On the Tokyo front, the upbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data failed to bring meaningful strength to the yen bulls. The Japanese GDP data landed at 0.9%, higher than the forecasts of 0.7% and the prior release of 0.5%. Also, the annual data improved meaningfully to 3.5% against the expectations and the prior print of 2.9% and 2.2% respectively.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
AUDJPY currently trading at 97.7 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 97.5 and is trading with a change of 0.21 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 97.70 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | 0.20 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | 0.21 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 97.50 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 95.22, 50 SMA 94.32, 100 SMA @ 93.38 and 200 SMA @ 89.34.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 95.22 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 94.32 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 93.38 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 89.34 |
The previous day high was 97.92 while the previous day low was 97.07. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 97.59, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 97.4, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 97.08, 96.65, 96.23
- Pivot resistance is noted at 97.92, 98.34, 98.77
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 97.92 |
| Previous Daily Low | 97.07 |
| Previous Weekly High | 97.92 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 95.03 |
| Previous Monthly High | 96.20 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 90.52 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 97.59 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 97.40 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 97.08 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 96.65 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 96.23 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 97.92 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 98.34 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 98.77 |
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