#XAUUSD @ 1711.56 Gold witnessed an intraday turnaround from over a one-week high touched earlier this Thursday. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- Gold witnessed an intraday turnaround from over a one-week high touched earlier this Thursday.
- Aggressive rate hikes by major central banks continue to act as a headwind for the commodity.
- Retreating US bond yields keep the USD bulls on the defensive, though fail to lend any support.
The pair currently trades last at 1711.56.
The previous day high was 1719.54 while the previous day low was 1691.47. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1708.82, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.19, expected to provide support.
Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday positive move to a one-and-half-week high and meets with a fresh supply near the $1,728 region on Thursday. The pullback extends through the early North American session and drags spot prices to a fresh daily low, closer to the $1,710 level in the last hour.
More aggressive rate hikes by major central banks to tame inflation turn out to be a key factor that continues to act as a headwind for the non-yielding gold. It is worth recalling that the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its benchmark rates by 50 bps on Tuesday, while the Bank of Canada maintained a more hawkish bias and delivered a 75 bps hike on Wednesday.
This was followed by a supersized 75 bps rate increase on Thursday by the European Central Bank, which expects to raise interest rates further to dampen demand. Furthermore, the US central bank is also anticipated to continue to tighten its monetary policy at a faster pace. That said, a modest US dollar weakness limits the downside for the dollar-denominated gold.
The USD extends the overnight retracement slide from a two-decade high and remains on the defensive for the second successive day amid a further pullback in the US Treasury bond yields. Apart from this, the prevalent cautious mood – amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn – could further offer some support to the safe-haven precious metal.
The prospects for a further policy tightening by major central banks, economic headwinds stemming from fresh COVID-19 lockdowns in China and protracted war in Ukraine have been fueling recession fears. This continues to weigh on investors’ sentiment, which is evident from a generally weaker tone around the equity markets and benefits traditional safe-haven assets.
The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets around gold. Even from a technical perspective, spot prices have been oscillating in a familiar range over the past week or so. Hence, a sustained move in either direction is needed to confirm the near-term trajectory for the commodity.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
XAUUSD currently trading at 1715.89 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1718.38 and is trading with a change of -0.14 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 1715.89 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -2.49 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.14 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 1718.38 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 1743.11, 50 SMA 1747.72, 100 SMA @ 1800.25 and 200 SMA @ 1834.15.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 1743.11 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 1747.72 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 1800.25 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 1834.15 |
The previous day high was 1719.54 while the previous day low was 1691.47. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1708.82, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1702.19, expected to provide support.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 1700.05, 1681.73, 1671.98
- Pivot resistance is noted at 1728.12, 1737.87, 1756.19
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 1719.54 |
| Previous Daily Low | 1691.47 |
| Previous Weekly High | 1745.58 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 1688.92 |
| Previous Monthly High | 1807.93 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 1709.68 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 1708.82 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 1702.19 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 1700.05 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 1681.73 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 1671.98 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 1728.12 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 1737.87 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 1756.19 |
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