#NZDUSD @ 0.60497 US dollar hits fresh highs across the board after US data. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- US dollar hits fresh highs across the board after US data.
- ISM service for August comes above expectation.
- NZD/USD drops sharply, remains above 0.6000.
The pair currently trades last at 0.60497.
The previous day high was 0.6106 while the previous day low was 0.6077. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6095, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6088, expected to provide resistance.
The NZD/USD dropped further after the release of the US ISM service sector report and bottomed at 0.6034, the lowest level since May 2020. It then rebounded to 0.6050 trimming losses.
The August ISM service sector index rose unexpectedly to 56.9 against expectations of 55.1. The recovery boosted further the US dollar that printed fresh highs. Equity prices in Wall Street hit new lows and US yields jumped.
The NZD/USD reached levels below last week’s lows. It is hovering around 0.6050, still on its way to the lowest daily close in years. A consolidation clearly below 0.6050 should open the doors for a test of 0.6000.
The stronger dollar and the deterioration in risk sentiment could keep the NZD/USD under pressure. Also, commodity prices are falling. The Chinese yuan hit new multi-year lows versus the dollar with USDCNH approaching 7.00.
On Wednesday, China will report trade data for August, and Australia, Q2 growth numbers. The relevant report of the week in New Zealand will be on Thursday with Q2 manufacturing activity. “This reading is key for the economic outlook after Q2 real retail sales unexpectedly fell -2.3% q/q vs. -0.9% in Q1, raising the risk that Q2 GDP also contracts again after -0.2% q/q in Q1”, said analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
NZDUSD currently trading at 0.6055 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6095 and is trading with a change of -0.66 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.6055 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0040 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.6600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.6095 |
The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6234, 50 SMA 0.6224, 100 SMA @ 0.6331 and 200 SMA @ 0.6558.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.6234 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.6224 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.6331 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.6558 |
The previous day high was 0.6106 while the previous day low was 0.6077. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6095, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6088, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.6079, 0.6064, 0.605
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6108, 0.6122, 0.6137
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.6106 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.6077 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.6195 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.6050 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.6470 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.6101 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.6095 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.6088 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6079 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6064 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6050 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6108 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6122 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6137 |
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