#USDCHF @ 0.97996 is hovering around 0.9800 as DXY has recovered a majority of its losses. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)
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- USD/CHF is hovering around 0.9800 as DXY has recovered a majority of its losses.
- Investors await the release of the US ISM Services PMI, seen at 55.5 vs. 56.7.
- Fed Powell’s speech will dictate the likely monetary policy action for the September meeting.
The pair currently trades last at 0.97996.
The previous day high was 0.9838 while the previous day low was 0.9795. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9812, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9822, expected to provide resistance.
The USD/CHF pair has recovered firmly after correcting mildly to near 0.9787. The asset is expected to remain on the sidelines as investors are awaiting the release of the US ISM Services PMI data. As per the consensus, a decline is expected in the extent of Services PMI.
According to the estimates, the Services PMI will land at 55.5 lower than the prior release of 56.7. It says that corporate conferences during earnings season provide meaningful guidance for future prospects. Big tech boys considered a halt in recruitment processes in anticipation of subdued growth prospects.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is squeezing liquidity from the market vigorously to combat the mounting price pressures. The velocity of hiking interest rates is extremely firm and the corporate is facing the repercussions. The unavailability of cheaper funds has forced them to postpone investment opportunities and expansion plans, which are resulting in a decline in the overall economic activities.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has recovered the majority of its morning losses and is likely to extend recovery ahead of the speech from Fed chair Jerome Powell on Thursday. Fed Powell is expected to sound hawkish on interest rate guidance as the inflation rate is extremely deviated from the desired rate despite showing exhaustion signals in the July report.
On the Swiss franc front, less-than-expected Real Retail Sales data have weakened the Swiss franc. The economic data landed at 2.6%, lower than the consensus of 3.3% but remained higher than the prior release of 0.7%. Also, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has improved to 3.5% against expectations and the former print of 3.4% on an annual basis.
Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances
USDCHF currently trading at 0.979 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.9796 and is trading with a change of -0.06 % .
| Overview | Overview.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Today last price | 0.9790 |
| 1 | Today Daily Change | -0.0006 |
| 2 | Today Daily Change % | -0.0600 |
| 3 | Today daily open | 0.9796 |
The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 0.9615, 50 SMA 0.9639, 100 SMA @ 0.9686 and 200 SMA @ 0.9464.
| Trends | Trends.1 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Daily SMA20 | 0.9615 |
| 1 | Daily SMA50 | 0.9639 |
| 2 | Daily SMA100 | 0.9686 |
| 3 | Daily SMA200 | 0.9464 |
The previous day high was 0.9838 while the previous day low was 0.9795. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.9812, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.9822, expected to provide resistance.
Note the levels of interest below:
- Pivot support is noted at 0.9782, 0.9767, 0.9739
- Pivot resistance is noted at 0.9824, 0.9852, 0.9867
| Levels | Levels.1 |
|---|---|
| Previous Daily High | 0.9838 |
| Previous Daily Low | 0.9795 |
| Previous Weekly High | 0.9861 |
| Previous Weekly Low | 0.9658 |
| Previous Monthly High | 0.9808 |
| Previous Monthly Low | 0.9371 |
| Daily Fibonacci 38.2% | 0.9812 |
| Daily Fibonacci 61.8% | 0.9822 |
| Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.9782 |
| Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.9767 |
| Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.9739 |
| Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.9824 |
| Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.9852 |
| Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.9867 |
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