#AUDNZD @ 1.11580 extends the previous day’s rebound from a fortnight low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDNZD @ 1.11580 extends the previous day’s rebound from a fortnight low. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/NZD extends the previous day’s rebound from a fortnight low.
  • Hawkish hopes from the RBA favor bulls ahead of the event.
  • RBA is expected to announce 0.50% rate hike, focus will be on rate statement.

The pair currently trades last at 1.11580.

The previous day high was 1.1209 while the previous day low was 1.1129. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.116, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1178, expected to provide resistance.

AUD/NZD defends bulls around 1.1160 ahead of the key Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy announcements during Tuesday’s Asian session. In doing so, the cross-currency pair takes clues from the hawkish hopes of the Aussie central bank, as well as the market’s cautious optimism.

While portraying the mood, the S&P 500 Futures rise 0.40% to 3,940 at the latest while the US 10-year Treasury yields seesaw around 3.20% after the softer end to the week’s trading, considering the week-start holiday in the US.

It should be noted that downbeat figures from Australia’s largest customer China and at home fail to push back the buyers amid expectations of stronger rate hikes by the RBA.

That said, China’s Caixin Services PMI dropped to 55.0 in August, versus 55.5 in prior readings. In doing so, the private activity gauge traced the major PMIs from the dragon nation that recently signaled pessimism for the world’s largest industrial player.

At home, the AiG Performance of Construction Index and S&P Global Services PMI for August improved in August while TD Securities Inflation dropped to -0.5% during the stated monthly, versus 1.2% prior. Further, Australia’s ANZ Job Advertisements improved to 2.0% compared to -1.1% prior whereas the Company Gross Operating Profits for the second quarter (Q2) rose past 4.0% market forecast to 7.0%, compared to 10.2% previous readings.

Elsewhere, the energy crisis in Europe and the escalating US-China tussles seem to have probed the AUD/NZD prices ahead of the RBA’s verdict. Market forecasts favor the fourth 0.50% rate hike, which is mostly priced in and may gain fewer accolades if announced.

Also read: Reserve Bank of Australia Preview: Is the central bank ready to slow the tightening pace?

A one-week-old resistance line, around 1.1185 by the press time, challenges the AUD/NZD pair’s rebound from the 21-DMA support, close to 1.1130 at the latest.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDNZD currently trading at 1.1158 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 1.1163 and is trading with a change of -0.04% % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 1.1158
1 Today Daily Change -0.0005
2 Today Daily Change % -0.04%
3 Today daily open 1.1163

The pair remains strongly bullish on the daily timeframe. It trades above its 20 SMA @ 1.1123, 50 SMA 1.1091, 100 SMA @ 1.105 and 200 SMA @ 1.0867.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 1.1123
1 Daily SMA50 1.1091
2 Daily SMA100 1.1050
3 Daily SMA200 1.0867

The previous day high was 1.1209 while the previous day low was 1.1129. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 1.116, expected to provide resistance. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 1.1178, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 1.1126, 1.1088, 1.1046
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 1.1205, 1.1246, 1.1284
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 1.1209
Previous Daily Low 1.1129
Previous Weekly High 1.1251
Previous Weekly Low 1.1129
Previous Monthly High 1.1278
Previous Monthly Low 1.0943
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1160
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1178
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1126
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1088
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1046
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1205
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1246
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1284

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