#AUDUSD @ 0.68195 adds to intraday recovery gains and refreshes daily high in reaction to mixed US jobs report. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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#AUDUSD @ 0.68195 adds to intraday recovery gains and refreshes daily high in reaction to mixed US jobs report. (Pivot Orderbook analysis)

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  • AUD/USD adds to intraday recovery gains and refreshes daily high in reaction to mixed US jobs report.
  • The US economy added 312K jobs in August and the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.7%.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations should help limit any meaningful USD downside and cap gains for the pair.

The pair currently trades last at 0.68195.

The previous day high was 0.6852 while the previous day low was 0.6771. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6802, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6821, expected to provide resistance.

The AUD/USD pair extends its recovery move through the early North American session and jumps to a fresh daily high, around mid-0.6800s in reaction to the mixed US jobs report.

The headline NFP print showed that the US economy added 312K jobs in August against the 300K anticipated, though the reading was well below the 526K reported in the previous month. Adding to this, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.7% from the 3.5% previous. Furthermore, softer-than-estimated Average Hourly Earnings drag the US dollar away from a two-decade high touched the previous day. This is seen as a key factor that provides a modest lift to the AUD/USD pair.

Spot prices have now reversed the overnight losses to the lowest level since July 18, though any further recovery still seems elusive. Despite a slight disappointment from the US employment details, growing acceptance that the Fed will stick to its aggressive policy tightening path might continue to act as a tailwind for the USD. Apart from this, concerns about a deeper global economic downturn might further contribute to capping the upside for the AUD/USD pair, at least for now.

Even from a technical perspective, the intraday positive move stalls near the 100-hour SMA, currently around mid-0.6800s, which should now act as a pivotal point for intraday traders. This makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the AUD/USD pair has formed a near-term bottom and positioning for any further appreciating move.

Technical Levels: Supports and Resistances

AUDUSD currently trading at 0.681 at the time of writing. Pair opened at 0.6788 and is trading with a change of 0.32 % .

Overview Overview.1
0 Today last price 0.6810
1 Today Daily Change 0.0022
2 Today Daily Change % 0.3200
3 Today daily open 0.6788

The pair remains strongly bearish on the daily time frame. It trades below the 20 SMA @ 0.6947, 50 SMA 0.6909, 100 SMA @ 0.7004 and 200 SMA @ 0.7125.

Trends Trends.1
0 Daily SMA20 0.6947
1 Daily SMA50 0.6909
2 Daily SMA100 0.7004
3 Daily SMA200 0.7125

The previous day high was 0.6852 while the previous day low was 0.6771. The daily 38.2% Fib levels comes at 0.6802, expected to provide support. Similarly, the daily 61.8% fib level is at 0.6821, expected to provide resistance.

Note the levels of interest below:

  • Pivot support is noted at 0.6755, 0.6722, 0.6674
  • Pivot resistance is noted at 0.6836, 0.6885, 0.6918
Levels Levels.1
Previous Daily High 0.6852
Previous Daily Low 0.6771
Previous Weekly High 0.7010
Previous Weekly Low 0.6855
Previous Monthly High 0.7137
Previous Monthly Low 0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6802
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6821
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6755
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6722
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6674
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6836
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6885
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6918

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